College Basketball Odds, Picks & Predictions: Georgia State vs. Auburn Wednesday Betting Preview (Dec. 14)
Photo by Michael Chang/Getty Images. Pictured: Bruce Pearl (Auburn)
- Auburn is looking for a bounce-back performance after losing to Memphis over the weekend.
- The Tigers will have a perfect chance on Wednesday night when they face off against Jonas Hayes and Georgia State.
- Brett Pund explains why he's targeting this play on the total, though, rather than the spread.
Georgia State vs. Auburn Odds
|Georgia State Odds|
-106o / -114u
-106o / -114u
The Tigers were off to an unbeaten start to the season through the first eight games before falling in defeat to Memphis in Atlanta this past Saturday.
Meanwhile, the Panthers also enter this contest off a loss, dropping two of their last three to sit at 5-4 on the campaign.
With an upcoming trip to the West Coast, this could be a tricky spot for Auburn, but I expect it to be much better at home in The Jungle.
Coach Jonas Hayes has gotten off to a bumpy start to his first season as a college head coach, but his team has had some heartbreaking losses.
Three of the four defeats in his debut campaign have come by a combined six points, which includes a 59-57 loss to Georgia Tech.
The primary issues with Hayes’ squad have been on offense, where the Panthers are one of the worst teams in the nation in adjusted efficiency and eFG%, according to Bart Torvik.
One player that has consistently put the ball in the basket is guard Dwon Odom. The Xavier transfer leads Georgia State in points per game (16.1) and assists per game (3.1).
The other essential Panther is forward Ja’Heim Hudson, who averages 11.3 points and 8.7 rebounds per contest.
There really is no other way to put it. Coach Bruce Pearl and his team failed their first true test of the year by losing to Memphis.
Yes, Auburn does still have solid victories over Saint Louis and Northwestern, but the game against Penny Hardaway’s squad would have been circled on both teams’ calendars coming into the season.
In the loss, Hardaway’s team was able to shoot 50% from the field and 36.4% from behind the arc, which came against an Auburn squad that ranks eighth in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency and 14th in defensive eFG%.
This led to the reigning SEC regular season champion allowing the most points it had all season (82). Memphis was the first team to even break 70 against Auburn.
The defense has to improve before the upcoming trips to USC and Washington, and I believe the return home should make this a prime spot for a bounce-back performance.
Georgia State vs. Auburn Betting Pick
For a veteran coach like Pearl, he loves an opportunity to challenge his team defensively, and the next game after the loss to Memphis is the perfect spot to do so.
With that said, I’m expecting this to be a lower-scoring tilt. So, my best bet is to take the under at 133.5. I would play it down to 130.
This same bet would have cashed in three of Auburn’s five home games this season, and you can also look at how the team has performed in the bounce-back spot in the past under Pearl.
In the games following a loss last season, the Tigers held their opponents to an average of 60.8 points per game, which came against SEC schools and Jacksonville State in the NCAA tournament.
Meanwhile, you must wonder how Georgia State is going to handle playing on the road. The Panthers have played all but one game at home this season.
The lone road game came in their most recent defeat at Northeastern, where GSU was held to 46 points and 20.7% shooting from the field. It is pretty safe to say that this will be a bit of a step up in competition.
As long as the Tigers don’t try to score 100 themselves, I think we should have a great chance of cashing this ticket. Plus I do expect some rotation in the lineup from Pearl with the West Coast trip and conference play upcoming for Auburn.
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