College Basketball Odds, Picks and Predictions for Washington vs. Oregon (Sunday, Jan. 23)
Via Michael Hickey/Getty Images. Pictured: Jacob Young
Washington vs. Oregon Odds
-110o / -110u
-110o / -110u
The Washington Huskies and Oregon Ducks will square off in a Pac-12 battle on Sunday night. Washington enters the game at 9-7 on the season but has managed to post a 4-2 record in conference play. In their last game, the Huskies beat Oregon State 82-72 for their third win in a row. The Huskies are also 5-1 ATS in their last six games.
Oregon had its last game against Washington State postponed due to COVID-19 issues within the Washington State program. But prior to that, the Ducks won their last five games, which included two impressive wins last week. The Ducks became the first team in 46 years to defeat two top-five teams on the road within a five-day span by beating No. 3 UCLA 84-81 in overtime on Jan. 13 before taking down No. 5 USC 79-69 on January 15th. Oregon is also 3-1 ATS in their last four.
The Ducks have won the last five meetings between these teams, including an 86-74 victory in February last year. Oregon is also is 9-1 in the last 10 meetings, but can they continue their domination of the Huskies on Sunday night?
The Huskies offense has been almost completely reliant on Terrell Brown Jr. He leads the Huskies with 21.4 points per game and is also the leading scorer in the conference. Brown is having quite the season, hitting 46.0% of his shots and 77.7% of his free-throw attempts. Emmitt Matthews is the only other player averaging in double digits at 11.6 points per game, and they are the only two players hitting over 70% from the free-throw line.
In their last game, Washington found itself trailing by a pair entering the half but rallied to beat the Beavers 82-72. The Huskies shot 50% in the first half but hit 58.1% after the half. Terrell Brown led the team with 27 points, six rebounds, and five assists.
Washington is averaging 70.4 points per game, 206th overall while shooting just 45.5% in Effective Field Goal percentage, which ranks 318th nationally. They also rank outside the top 250 in both three-point and two-point shooting percentage The Huskies do take a lot of shots though, currently ranked 70th in field-goal attempts per game at 61.1. However, the shots are rarely falling as they are 330th in field goal percentage at 40.2%.
The Washington defense has been much better than its offense, but it’s still not great. The Huskies are 76th per Kenpom in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency and are allowing opposing teams to score 71.5 points per contest, which ranks 216th nationally.
In their last game, the Ducks went into the half with a 14-point lead, then hung on to defeat USC, 79-69. Will Richardson led the Ducks, scoring 28 points which included 5-8 from the 3-point range. N’Faly Dante was nearly perfect from the field, hitting six of seven shots for 12 points and adding seven rebounds.
On offense, the ducks are 114th in the country, averaging 72.8 points per game. They are also one of the best in college basketball when it comes to shooting percentage, hitting at 46.7% overall (44th nationally). However, the Ducks have struggled at the free throw line, and as a team they are only shooting 64.8%.
They do rarely give up turnovers though as they are 100th in turnover percentage, but they face a challenge against the Huskies defense which forces a turnover on 24.4% of plays.
Richardson leads Oregon in scoring at 14.4 points per contest with Jacob Young at 11.1 per game. Richardson is hitting 47.3% of the shots, including 45.1% from the 3-point range.
Defensively the Ducks have had some struggles as they have allowed opposing teams to post an Effective Field Goal percentage of 51%. Their 52.4% two-point field goal percentage allowed ranks a poor 281st in the county.
Washington vs. Oregon Betting Pick
I have almost no doubt in my mind that Oregon will win this game, but I’m not sure they can win it by 12 points. In their six conference games, the Ducks have beaten an opponent by 12 or more just one time. Washington has struggled offensively, but I think their defense can slow the Ducks down enough to keep this somewhat close.
Both teams also have issues at the free throw line, and if Washington can be just slightly more consistent than the Ducks from charity stripe, I think this game stays inside a 10-point margin. I bet Washington at +11.5 and would back the Huskies as low as +10.