College Basketball PRO Report: Sharp Bettors Acting Early on Kentucky vs. Georgia (Wednesday, Jan. 20)
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- Kentucky vs. Georgia is attracting heavy betting action from both sharps and public bettors, as one of the most-bet games of the day.
- Sharps have made their position clear in the early going, however, moving the line from -2 to -3.5.
- Danny Donahue breaks down this movement below in our college basketball PRO report.
Kentucky vs. Georgia Odds
|Time||7 p.m. ET|
The SEC is set to take center stage in the college basketball world this evening, at least based on the early bets rolling in. Arkansas vs. Auburn and Kentucky vs. Georgia make up the top two spots on the list of most heavily-bet games as of writing.
The latter hasn’t just been drawing casual college hoops bettors, either. According to our PRO Report, it’s already drawing some hefty wagers from sharps, and its odds have seen some movement as a result.
Note: Odds, data as of 10:40 a.m. ET.
Kentucky vs. Georgia Pick
Sharps and big bettors, who are likely one and the same, have taken a liking to the road favorite, and as it stands now, Kentucky is also a match for one of our historically profitable PRO Betting Systems.
Tipoff is still more than eight hours away, so betting percentages will have ample time to change (and likely regress a bit toward 50-50 splits). But as of writing, the Wildcats have drawn only 23% of the bets landing on this spread. That makes their move from -2 to -3.5 all the more significant, as it suggests sharp bettors are among that minority.
Sure enough, a Bet Signal from Action Labs was triggered on Kentucky this morning, confirming market-wide movement coming specifically as a result of sharp action.
Sharp Action edge: Kentucky
The 23% backing of Kentucky has impressively generated 61% of actual money hitting this spread.
And while 61% isn’t a huge majority, it’s certainly a substantial increase from the percentage of bets, which means Kentucky is taking on the bigger bets — the ones more likely to come from sharps.
Big Money edge: Kentucky
And while the 23% minority may not hold over the remainder of the day, it’s still worth noting how unpopular teams tend to perform in these power-conference games.
Our PRO System, titled “Fade The Public In Big Conferences,” has returned a 57% win rate against the spread since 2005, on a sample of more than 750 games.
PRO Systems edge: Kentucky