College Basketball Betting System Picks: 2 Conference Tournament Over/Unders to Target on Tuesday
Gregory Fisher/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images. Pictured: The Hofstra Pride bench
- Between early games, back-to-backs and the pressure of trying to get an NCAA tournament seed, conference tournament season can be tiring.
- John Ewing is finding betting value in these situations tonight using our Bet Labs database.
- Check out his analysis and picks below.
The path to college basketball conference tournament title games is brutal, which makes it difficult to be crowned champion, but creates an opportunity for bettors.
In many conference tournaments, teams play multiple games in a row against increasingly difficult competition. The high-pressure matchups combined with increased player fatigue can lead to lower-scoring games.
Using the Bet Labs database, we find that the under has gone 1,929-1,780-53 (52.0%) in all conference tournament games since 2005. A majority of these games are played at a neutral site, but in small conference tournaments the higher seeds actually receive home-court advantage in the early rounds.
By eliminating these games and focusing on just contests played on a neutral court, where less familiarity with the surroundings can promote a low-scoring environment, a $100 bettor would increase their profit from $1,511 to $3,274.