Kansas State vs. Michigan State Odds, Line Movement: Wildcats Underdogs After Opening As Favorites

Kansas State vs. Michigan State Odds, Line Movement: Wildcats Underdogs After Opening As Favorites article feature image
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Photo by Jared C. Tilton/Getty Images. Pictured: Kansas State guard Keyontae Johnson.

Kansas State vs. Michigan State Odds

Kansas State+1.5
Michigan State-1.5
Total 139.5
DateThursday, March 23
Time6:30 p.m. ET
TVTBS

*Odds via FanDuel as of Monday afternoon.

The first game of the Sweet 16 already has some betting drama.

Kansas State opened as a 1-point favorite over Michigan State in the East Region semifinal.

The Wildcats are no longer the favorite against the Spartans as line movement has flipped the favorite to the underdog. Michigan State is now a 2-point favorite over Kansas State at most sportsbooks.

After the line opened on Sunday, 53% of the public bets have been on Kansas State. Typically, line movement is an indication of where the sharper bettors are placing their money.

If Kansas State ends up closing as an underdog, it will be just the fifth time in the Sweet 16 or later for a team to open as the betting favorite and close as the underdog since 2005.

The last four teams went 3-1 straight-up after opening as a favorite and closing as an underdog.

2016 Notre Dame

Sweet 16 vs Wisconsin
Opened:-1
Closed: +1
Final score: ND 61-56

2008 Kansas

National Championship vs Memphis
Opened: -1.5
Closed: +1.5
Final Score: KU 75-68

2005 Kentucky

Elite Eight vs. Michigan State
Opened: -1.5
Closed: +1
Final Score: MSU 94-88

2005 Arizona

Sweet 16 vs. Oklahoma State
Opened: -1
Closed: +1.5
Final Score: Arizona 79-78

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Kansas State earned a Sweet 16 bid after beating Montana State and Kentucky. The Wildcats were 7.5-point favorites over Montana State in the first round and won by 12. They were 3-point underdogs to Kentucky and won by six. The Cats are 20-12 ATS this season.

Michigan State found its way to the Sweet 16 after beating USC by 10 as 2.5-point favorites and beating Marquette, 75-69, as 3-point underdogs.

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Nick Sterling
May 18, 2024 UTC