Kansas vs. Villanova Betting Odds: Updated Spread for 2022 Final Four

Kansas vs. Villanova Betting Odds: Updated Spread for 2022 Final Four article feature image

Getty Images. Pictured: Ochai Agbaji of Kansas, Jermaine Samuels of Villanova

  • The Kansas Jayhawks are a 4.5-point favorite over the Villanova Wildcats in the 2022 Final Four on Saturday.
  • This line has moved in a big way since Nova announced that Justin Moore would miss the rest of the season with an Achilles injury.
  • Get updated Villanova-Kansas odds, our projected spread and early betting take below.

Kansas vs. Villanova Odds

Kansas Odds-4.5
Villanova Odds+4.5
Tipoff6:09 p.m. ET on Saturday
Opening odds for Kansas vs. Villanova via DraftKings

The Final Four matchup between the Midwest's 1-seeded Kansas and South's 2-seeded Villanova is set! The Jayhawks open as 3.5-point favorites against the Wildcats for their semifinal showdown in New Orleans.

Find our expert's projected odds and more about how these teams match-up below.

Projected Kansas vs. Villanova Odds

Projected Kansas Odds-1
Projected Villanova Odds+1
Projected Over/Under139.5
March Madness projections as of March 27. Find the latest NCAA Tournament projections here.
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Kansas vs. Villanova Matchup Matrix

Toggle the dropdowns below to hide or show how Kansas and Villanova match up statistically. Data via KenPom as of Sunday, March 13:

Kansas Offense vs. Villanova Defense
Turnover %119148
Rebound Rate33187
Free Throw Rate11747

Villanova Offense vs. Kansas Defense
Turnover %31175
Rebound Rate75176
Free Throw Rate170118

Pace of Play

More About Kansas

Doug Ziefel: The Jayhawks showed throughout the regular season that they have the talent to be title contenders. Going 14-4 in the Big 12 is no easy task, but Kansas proved that it could handle its business night after night.

It also helps when you have the talent that the Jayhawks do.

It all starts with the Big 12's leading scorer, Ochai Agbaji. He averaged almost 20 points per game and was a KenPom MVP in nine of 30 conference games. When Agbaji was not at his best, the veteran big man David McCormack picked up the slack. McCormack was the leading offensive rebounder in the Big 12 and became a matchup nightmare for any team that lacked the size to contend with him.

The duo of Agbaji and McCormack alone make Kansas tough to knock off — hence how they reached the Final Four.

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More About Villanova

Shane McNichol: When Jay Wright’s guys play to their potential, Villanova is the best team coming out of the Big East, by a somewhat comfortable margin.

Villanova sorely lacks depth, though, ranking outside the top 300 in percentage of minutes played by bench players this season, per KenPom. Wright has six players he trusts and three more he’ll play in spurts as needed. When either of his two star guards head to the bench, Villanova looks out of sorts.

According to on/off data from Hoop Explorer, when Villanova plays without senior point guard Collin Gillespie, the Wildcats’ offensive rating, 3-point rate and percentage and assist rate take a dive, while turnovers jump upward. Those trends continue when second-leading scorer Justin Moore sits.

In the very rare case when both sit — just 81 possessions all season — Villanova’s offense craters.

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