Florida State vs. Michigan Sweet 16 Odds: Spread, Over/Under Line for NCAA Tournament 2021

Florida State vs. Michigan Sweet 16 Odds: Spread, Over/Under Line for NCAA Tournament 2021 article feature image
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Tim Nwachukwu/Getty Images. Pictured: Hunter Dickinson.

  • Michigan is a 3-point favorite over Florida State in the Sweet 16 in Sunday's NCAA Tournament action.
  • The Wolverines looked strong on offense in a win over LSU, while Florida State's defense clamped down on Colorado to advance without much of a sweat.

Florida State vs. Michigan Odds

Florida State Odds +3
Michigan Odds -3
Moneyline +128 / -155
Over/Under 145
Time Sunday, 4 p.m. ET
TV CBS
Odds as of Tuesday and via DraftKings

Michigan opened as a 3-point favorite over Florida State across the betting market. Our projections make the Wolverines a slightly bigger favorite.

Here’s how each team matches up, and how they got here.

How Michigan & Florida St. Match Up

Michigan
vs.
Florida St.
260
Tempo
84
25
eFG%
32
49
TO%
241
119
OR%
11
241
FTR
148
8
DeFG%
34
335
DTO%
128
59
DR%
291
25
DFTR
283
All stats via KenPom.

What To Know About Michigan

Alongside the likes of Gonzaga and Baylor, the Michigan Wolverines will enter the NCAA Tournament as one of the favorites to win it all. Michigan ranks fifth in both adjusted offensive and defensive efficiency, according to KenPom, and can score however it wants to on offense.

Big man Hunter Dickinson leads the Wolverines at 14.3 points per game while shooting nearly 60% from the field, and Juwan Howard’s team also ranks in the top-20 nationally in 3-point percentage. Bettors will love that the Wolverines are 17-6 against the spread this season. They may have to make do without senior Isaiah Livers, but they have enough depth to ensure that’s not a devastating loss.

A bigger concern against the elite teams in the country would be if Dickinson gets in foul trouble, which would hurt their interior defense and change the complexion of their offense.

They have the depth and talent to beat any team, even on an off-night, and are clearly a threat to win the title. And don’t forget about the uber-efficient and not talked about enough Franz Wagner, who is so critical on both ends of the floor for the Wolverines. — Matt Trebby

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What To Know About Florida St.

Leonard Hamilton had Elite Eight and Sweet 16 teams in the two seasons prior to last year, and his ACC-winning squad in 2019-20 was robbed of a chance for a deep run in March by COVID-19. They’re back now and appear just as poised. The Noles thrive offensively thanks to a top-20 3-point percentage that has them ranked 20th in adjusted offensive efficiency, according to KenPom, while playing at the 79th-ranked pace in the country.

Florida State’s defensive is also borderline top-20, allowing opponents to shoot just 40% from the field. Boasting one of the longest and most athletic defensive units in the country, they can switch everything, which really gives them a ton of flexibility that can stump teams that try to create mismatches on offense. They also use a press at one of the highest rates in the country, which could be problematic for teams lacking ball handlers. And they have almost unlimited depth that can wear down teams in the second half.

On offense, they are also unbelievably versatile and can exploit teams that can’t guard 1-5. Freshman Scottie Barnes is the only one of the Noles’ top-four scorers who wasn’t with the team last season, and his addition has only enhanced an already fantastic roster. Turnovers can be a bit of an issue on offense, but this team has enough length and athleticism to beat any team in the country when they are on. — Matt Trebby

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