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Providence vs. Richmond NCAA Tournament Odds, Projections for March Madness 2022

Providence vs. Richmond NCAA Tournament Odds, Projections for March Madness 2022 article feature image
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Greg Fiume/Getty Images. Pictured: Jacob Gilyard

  • No. 4 Providence meets No. 12 Richmond on Saturday in the second round of the NCAA Tournament.
  • The Friars beat South Dakota State on Thursday, while the Spiders pulled off a big upset against Iowa.
  • Continue reading for the betting odds and our projections for this matchup.

Providence vs. Richmond Odds

Providence Odds -2.5
Richmond Odds +2.5
Over/Under 133
Date/Time Saturday, 6:10 p.m. ET
Spread and over/under via FanDuel. Find more March Madness odds here

The madness marches on as we roll into the second round of the 2022 NCAA Tournament, featuring No. 4 Providence against No. 12 Richmond. Find our expert’s projected odds and more about how these teams match up ahead of the Round of 32 below.

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Projected Providence vs. Richmond Odds

Projected Providence Odds -4
Projected Richmond Odds +4
Projected Over/Under 136.8
March Madness projections as of Selection Sunday. Find the latest NCAA Tournament projections here.
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Providence vs. Richmond Matchup Matrix

Toggle the dropdowns below to hide or show how Providence and Richmond match up statistically. Data via KenPom as of Sunday, March 13:

Providence Offense vs. Richmond Defense
Offense
Defense
Edge
eFG% 132 195
Turnover % 111 127
Rebound Rate 105 173
Free Throw Rate 14 29

Richmond Offense vs. Providence Defense
Offense
Defense
Edge
eFG% 102 29
Turnover % 9 312
Rebound Rate 319 175
Free Throw Rate 189 65

Pace of Play
Tempo 278 192

More About Providence

Shane McNichol: Until late last month, Providence was the “luckiest” team by KenPom’s metrics in nearly a quarter century. Since then, it has dropped from historically lucky to simply the luckiest team in the nation this season.

The Friars’ luck extends to their shooting: They had the best 3-point percentage in the Big East — without the shooting talent to do so.

Last season, Jared Bynum shot 12% beyond the arc on 42 attempts. This season, he led the Big East in 3-point shooting percentage. In his first three seasons, A.J. Reeves made 34.5% of his 3s. This year, he’s just a hair under 40%. Justin Minaya shot 29% in three seasons at South Carolina. With Providence this year, he’s at 35%.

You get the idea.

None of this means Providence is dead-on-arrival. The way Bynum, Al Durham and Nate Watson are playing — with this core of role players around them — the Friars can compete with anyone. A lot of trends just need to continue in order for them to compete with the nation’s best.

If they keep shooting it at a blistering rate, Bynum continues to be magical in crunch time and they continue to make free throws and avoid turnovers in every close game, Providence can make a run.

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More About Richmond

Chase Howell: Richmond was one of the biggest bid-stealers during conference tournament week. Davidson had dominated the conference regular season, good enough to have made the NCAA Tournament either way. Davidson had also beaten Richmond in their only matchup this season.

And yet, Richmond came back down six points with 1:35 remaining to win by two, sealing their spot for March Madness.

Bubble teams weren’t happy about that news, with one of them bounced because of the Spiders’ victory on Sunday. Richmond had entered the conference tournament with +750 odds.

And while Richmond has had virtually the same core for three straight years, that core had mostly underwhelmed. Not anymore.

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