Random College Basketball Sharp Action Alert: Pros Betting Niagara-Quinnipiac

Random College Basketball Sharp Action Alert: Pros Betting Niagara-Quinnipiac article feature image
Credit:

Shandon Brown #12 of the Niagara Purple Eagles pauses on the court during the first half against the Syracuse Orange at the Carrier Dome. (Photo by Brett Carlsen/Getty Images) *** Local Caption *** Shandon Brown

  • Using the Action Network's betting tools, we break down how sharp bettors are playing the small MAAC game between Niagara and Quinnipiac (7 p.m. ET).

A mere 11 college basketball games grace the board on Friday — a far cry from the 54 we were blessed with last night. Also missing are the high-profile games, as the best game of the evening is Maryland-Iowa.

But one of the smaller games this evening is seeing some #RandomSharpAction.

We have to head up into New England for this Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference battle between Niagara and Quinnipiac.

The Waterfalls of Niagara — OK, they’re the Purple Eagles — are one of the worst teams in the nation per KenPom’s Adjusted Efficiency ratings. They’re ranked 302nd out of 353. Niagara is just 3-10 overall, but have actually been kind to spread bettors at 7-6 ATS.

Quinnipiac is cashing on both the moneyline and spread this year, with a 7-5 straight up record and 8-4 record against the spread. They’re nearly 100 spots higher in KenPom’s rankings at 217 — not good, but not bad for the MAAC.

Given Niagara’s ineptitude, they opened as nine-point dogs on the road, but is it the favorite or dog that sharps are usually infatuated with?

Savvy gamblers will bet anything and everything if the number is favorable, but they tend to fancy underrated conference dogs in spots like this.

Niagara is getting 43% of bets, but 71% of the cash. We’ve also tracked a Steam Move on the Purple Eagles, which helped push them from +9 to +8 across the market.

Since 2005, conference dogs of this size have had the edge, per Bet Labs, as teams of +8 or higher have hit at a 51.2% rate. As a matter of fact, the MAAC has been the third most profitable conference in that spot, cashing at nearly a 55% rate.

Underdogs tend to have a slight edge in conference or divisional games in all sports, as the familiarity between the two teams evens the playing field. Niagara certainly deserves to be the dog in this game, but sharps clearly feel that nine points was too much to pass up.

Sharp Angle: Niagara +9 to +8

How would you rate this article?