Toledo vs. Kent State Odds, Betting Pick: Sharps Hitting Small College Basketball Game Tuesday
Kent State Head Coach Rob Senderoff. (Photo by Frank Jansky/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images)
- Professional bettors are targeting one of Tuesday's smallest college basketball games.
- Learn how sharp money is moving odds for tonight's Toledo vs. Kent State (7 p.m. ET) matchup.
Does a Tuesday night MAC basketball game count as MACtion? Well, according to Urban Dictionary, MACtion applies only to mid-week MAC football games, but I’d say tonight’s Toledo vs Kent State matchup counts in spirit.
Is this game nationally televised? No. Is it even regionally televised? Couldn’t tell you. But sharps don’t bet to get a little skin in a game they’re watching on TV — they bet wherever they find value, which they’ve found on tonight’s Toledo vs. Kent State spread.
Odds as of Tuesday at 11 a.m. ET and via FanDuel, where Action Network users get a risk-free bet up to $500.
Let’s take a detailed look at this small Tuesday college basketball matchup, including how sharps are betting Toledo vs. Kent State.
Toledo vs. Kent State College Basketball Sharp Betting Pick
Given Kent State’s gaudy 11-3 overall record, it is not surprising to see it open as a 5-point home favorite vs. the 8-6 Rockets. However, the gap between the two teams may not be all that big, as they rank 96th and 105th, respectively, out of the 353 teams included in KenPom’s adjusted efficiency ratings.
Considering the gap in their records, I was surprised to see the ticket count almost split 50/50, with Kent receiving the slight majority at 53%.
The money wagered is not even remotely close though, with Toledo seeing 83%. The +36% differential for Toledo (83% of money vs. 47% of bets) is the largest discrepancy of any spread on tonight’s 29-game college basketball slate.
What does this mean? Well, it tells us that the casual bettors throwing down a few bucks here and there are taking Kent State, while the big bettors, who generally have sharper tendencies, like Toledo plus the points.
This cash flow on the Rockets has caused their line to drop from +5 to anywhere from +4.5 to +3.5, with most books settling in at +4.
Sharp angle: Toledo (moved from +5 to +4)