Virginia vs. Purdue Odds: College Basketball’s Lowest Over/Under Since 2007

Virginia vs. Purdue Odds: College Basketball’s Lowest Over/Under Since 2007 article feature image
Credit:

Geoff Burke-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Tony Bennett and the Virginia Cavaliers

  • Tonight's Virginia vs. Purdue over/under is the lowest in college basketball since 2007.
  • See how bettors are approaching the matchup, and what history says about low totals.

If you’ve taken a glance at tonight’s college hoops slate, there’s a good chance you’ve stumbled upon the odds for the Virginia vs. Purdue matchup. As it stands now, that game is on pace to easily be the most heavily bet tonight, generating more than double the ticket count of Ohio State vs. UNC — the next closest matchup.

And assuming that’s the case, you’ve probably noticed the absurdly low total.


Odds as of Wednesday at 1:40 p.m. ET. Check out PointsBet, where Action Network users can access an exclusive promotion to get a 200% deposit match (deposit $50, bet with $150). No strings attached. No rollover required.


Virginia vs. Purdue Betting Odds

7:15 p.m. ET | ESPN2

The over/under currently sits at 104, which makes it the lowest mark in college basketball since 2007 (Brown vs. Princeton, 98.5). And believe it or not, that consensus number has actually risen since opening.

Oddsmakers opened the total at 101.5, and for good reason. Virginia ranks fifth-to-last in the country in points per game (55.1), and tops the list on the other side of the ball, allowing a ridiculous 40.3 PPG.

Purdue’s numbers are nowhere near as extreme, but they do follow the same pattern. The Boilermakers’ 70.4 points per game ranks 236th in the nation, and their 58.4 points allowed comes in at 17th.

At the time of writing, most bettors have taken the low number to be reason for an over bet. Sixty-eight percent of bettors have hit the over, and they’ve been of the bigger variety too, accounting for 81% of actual money, which helps explain the line move.

And while betting blindly based off the total listed is generally not a smart strategy, the over has been historically profitable in spots like this.

Since 2005 (the beginning of our Bet Labs database), overs in games with totals below 110 have gone 51-37-1. In tonight’s more rare case of a total under 105, the over record improves to 12-4-1.

[In New Jersey? Bet now at PointsBet]