Women’s NCAA Tournament Predictions: Vermont vs. UConn Betting Preview & Picks (March 18)

Women’s NCAA Tournament Predictions: Vermont vs. UConn Betting Preview & Picks (March 18) article feature image
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Jeffrey Brown/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images. Pictured: Vermont Catamounts guard Emma Utterback (23).

  • The Connecticut Huskies open the tournament against the Vermont Catamounts in the No. 2 vs. No. 15 matchup.
  • UConn opened as -33.5 favorites and the line has moved even further to 36.5.
  • Dano Mataya breaks down the matchup and gives his betting prediction below.

Vermont vs. UConn Odds

Saturday, March 18
3 p.m. ET
ABC
Vermont Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
+36.5
-110
120.5
-110o / -110u
N/A
UConn Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
-36.5
-110
120.5
-110o / -110u
N/A
Odds via bet365. Get up-to-the-minute college basketball odds here.

For the second consecutive season the American East conference champion will enter the first round of the NCAA Women's Tournament as 30-point underdogs on the road. The No. 2 seed Connecticut Huskies face the No. 15 Vermont Catamounts Saturday on ABC.

Here's a look at the matchup, including a prediction an pick for Vermont vs UConn.


Action has partnered with Her Hoop Stats for coverage of the 2023 Women's NCAA Tournament — check Action for Dano Mataya's best gameday bets through the national championship!


Vermont Catamounts

After dropping their first two conference games outright as favorites, the Catamounts haven’t lost a game since Jan. 1st.

In those 17 straight wins, the Catamounts have established themselves as the second-slowest team in Women’s college basketball. Only behind the 2022 American East conference champ, University of Albany.

While it’s not the prettiest brand of basketball, averaging less than 64 possessions per 40 minutes has proven to be successful.


Connecticut Huskies

The most successful program in women’s college basketball over the last three decades has faced an incredible amount of adversity this season. Plagued by a mountain of injuries including the loss of 2021 National Player of the Year, Paige Bueckers, the Huskies dropped back-to-back games this season for the first time since 1993.

Of course, UConn always seems to find their form in March, as they cruised through the Big East tournament in dominant fashion and saw the return of sharp-shooting guard, Azzi Fudd, who missed 24 games this season.

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Vermont vs. UConn Betting Pick

Pace is incredibly important in the women’s college game, and playing against slower teams is something UConn has had to experience all season. In 18 matchups against teams that rank in the bottom third, UConn has won by at least 36 only twice.

This is a very similar matchup to last year’s slowest team’s tournament game, as the University of Albany came into the first round as 37.5 point underdogs at No. 1 seed Louisville. While the Cardinals had built themselves a 28-point cushion by half time, the Great Danes were able to keep things close as Louisville found time to rest starters knowing what lies ahead in March.

With all the terrible injury luck the Huskies had all season, Head Coach Geno Auriemma should play it safe down the stretch and get key players the rest they need.

Could you get a better line live at halftime? Absolutely. But I believe the Catamounts come within 35 points of Connecticut.

Our HerHoopStats.com model predicts a 73-48 win for the Huskies.

Pick: Vermont +33.5

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