N. Mexico St vs. Florida St Odds & Betting Predictions - August 29, 2026

Novell loves to beat down these bottom tier G6 programs

Boyd (RAS Release)

ProphetX with the best price in the market. I like playing this under 30pts, anything -125 or better.

@Breese https://myaction.app/ruLmXrmOT5b

I’m out on Tony Sanchez. Furman transfer Trey Hedden was named the starter and while he’s played a lot of football for Furman, he has a major turnover problem, 22 picks in 20 career starts. Defense had its moments last year, and was really good at taking the ball away, 14th nationally with 24. Sanchez has had the touch with DBs and I trust this secondary will be aggressive and ballhawkish again. But can they stop the run? They gave up 4.4 yards per carry and everyone who got into the red zone scored. I think FSU will run wild and NMSU’s offense is unlikely to create more than four sustained drives all game long. That’s why I prefer the 1H number to the whole game.

Per ActionNetwork https://www.actionnetwork.com/ncaaf/college-football-betting-power-ratings-action-network

This one is simply mispriced, 50¢ higher than anywhere else in the market. The former blue-chipper was the third-rated running back in the class of 2025. He’s versatile at 6’1” and 220 pounds with a sub-4.4 40-yard dash. He’s explosive, powerful, and a three-down back thanks to his hard work in the offseason. He regularly utilized Florida State’s VR room to better understand his pass protection responsibilities. If he’s truly Norvell’s bellcow, he’ll receive 20+ carries against this porous New Mexico State front and cruise past the 100-yard mark.

Absolute must-have spot for Florida state here. Florida State absolutely needs to secure feel good win and I think we see Norvell keep the throttle down. Ashton Daniel’s needs work in the system and Mike needs to see what he has with Kevin sperry and Malachi Marshall in the 2H. I do not believe New Mexico state has the team speed to quarantine kromah and wisner who should absolutely gas New Mexico State on the ground. Duce Robinson and micahi Danzy should absolutely feast here. Last year FSU scored 49 and 45 in the 1H against ETAMU and Kent State and kept applying pressure in the 2H. They are a great bully laying 30+ (6-1 ATS L5 yr) with winnable games against Mercyhurst and at Hawaii before the by week I cannot imagine NMSU will keep the 1’s in there to take the abuse much past HT. Full send off here. I’d lay up to -33.5