Florida St vs. Pittsburgh Odds & Betting Predictions - November 14, 2026

Florida St at Pittsburgh

12:00 am • ESPN
16 - 10

Florida St at Pittsburgh Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Florida St
4-5
+4.5
+3-105
o51.5-110
+125
Pittsburgh
6-3
u54.5
-3-115
u51.5-110
-153
location pinSaturday 12:00 a.m.
November 14, 2026
Acrisure StadiumPittsburgh
Florida St vs. Pittsburgh Expert Picks
Doug Ziefel
Doug Ziefel
Last 30d: 370-315-10 (+33.2u)
C.Hicks o49.5 Rec Yds-105
0.53u
Under 10.5 (1Q)-114
0.5u
Duck
Duck
Last 30d: 108-99-0 (+4.0u)
Under 52.5-112
0.34u
Small play
Sandy Plashkes
Sandy Plashkes
Last 30d: 103-115-5 (-0.5u)
FSU +3.5-110
2.2u
Prop Bomb 🏝
Prop Bomb 🏝
Last 30d: 21-12-0 (+7.0u)
A.Daniels u40.5 Rush Yds-110
2.2u
Really a fan of this game. Tons of injuries on both sides. This FSU team is hurt with injuries. No Ousmane and No Duce Robinson as starters. Starting Center is also out for them. I believe this team is going to quit especially in the cold. I believe Pitt is going to want to make this team quit. Pitt ranks 22nd in Sacks and sure thing FSU ranks 98th in Sacks allowed. But I watched film and Pitt once again 2nd time me covering them is going to send blitz after blitz after blitz. With this they also man up the LB on the RB. Ousmane and Wisner both out so now they are going to lean on Freshman RB in pass pro??. I don't think this goes well. I believe ashton will be sacked multiple times and not have any room to run. With no Ousmane this leaves Pitt not having to worry so much on the run game, they wont overplay leaving the possibility of Ashton taking the read. There should be the back edge to be on the QB keep. Pitt pass defense is going to play man and honestly I believe that Ashton will hit some deep ones. This will then get rid of any opportunities for long runs Ashton doesnt look mobile enough I think to scramble for long plays. I believe they still put a spy on him as hes also not a pocket passer. However on film vs boston college he did not look to run instantly. He looked like a pocket passer.
Mike Calabrese
Mike Calabrese
Last 30d: 55-92-1 (-30.7u)
Under 51.5-105
1.05u
Brian Bitler
Brian Bitler
Last 30d: 76-80-0 (-12.7u)
Under 51.5+111
3u
Brandon Kravitz
Brandon Kravitz
Last 30d: 67-74-1 (+1.8u)
PITT -3.5+102
1u
Colby Marchio
Colby Marchio
Last 30d: 29-23-0 (+34.6u)
PITT -160
1.6u
Topper
Topper
Last 30d: 74-80-1 (-37.9u)
FSU +141
3u
#TSA
Scott Rickenbach
Scott Rickenbach
Last 30d: 104-107-0 (-15.8u)
PITT -160
1u

Florida St vs. Pittsburgh Previews & Analysis

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Prop Odds Comparison

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Florida St vs. Pittsburgh Public Betting Percentages

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Florida St

Public

53%

Bets%

47%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Pittsburgh
5-44-21-23-31-1
Florida St
4-4-11-3-13-11-23-1-1

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Pittsburgh
4-51-53-02-42-0
Florida St
5-41-44-02-13-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Pittsburgh
6-3N/AN/A4-21-1
Florida St
4-5N/AN/A2-11-4

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Oct 31stGTW 34-11-9.5 WU 54.5PITT -345
Oct 24th@MIAL 23-52+20.5 LO 50.5MIA +1000
Oct 17th@BCL 21-27-6.5 LO 42.5BC -240
Oct 10thUNCL 17-21-3.5 LU 47.5UNC -175
Oct 2nd@VTW 35-33+2.5 WO 54.5PITT +115
Team Stats
269
Total Yards
271
54
Total Plays
65
4.981481481481482
Yards Per Play
4.1692307692307695
163
YDS
157
16/24
Comps/Atts
16/32
6.791666666666667
YPA
4.90625
0/0
TDs/INTs
1/1
1/7
Sacks/Yards
2/8
106
Rush Yards
114
30
Attempts
33
3.533333333333333
YPC
3.4545454545454546
1
TDs
0
1
Fumbles Lost
0
0
Interceptions
1
3/4 75%
Redzone
2/2 100%
4/12 0%
3rd Down
5/14 0%
0/0 0%
4th Down
1/3 0%
14
Total
14
8
Pass
6
5
Rush
7
1
Penalty
1
2/20
Penalties/Yards
7/60

Florida St vs. Pittsburgh Odds Comparison

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Florida St at Pittsburgh Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Florida St
4-5
N/A
N/A
Pittsburgh
6-3
N/A
N/A