Arizona State vs Washington State Odds, Picks: Expect Lots of Points
Wide receiver Elijhah Badger #2 of the Arizona State Sun Devils celebrates after making a touchdown catch in the second quarter against the Stanford Cardinal at Stanford Stadium on October 22, 2022 in Stanford, California. (Photo by Lachlan Cunningham/Getty Images)
Arizona State vs Washington State Odds
| Arizona State Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+9.5 -106 | 59.5 -110o / -110u | +280 |
| Washington State Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-9.5 -114 | 59.5 -110o / -110u | -360 |
Two Pac-12 teams that were expected to land right in the middle of the conference in the preseason could actually wind up on opposite ends of the spectrum.
Arizona State is 3-6 overall and 4-5 against the spread this season. Washington State, meanwhile, is expected by oddsmakers to pick up bowl eligibility in head coach Jake Dickert's first full season this Saturday, with a couple more winnable games along the way.
Truthfully, you likely won't find a ton of tickets backing the Sun Devils. However, the true value on this game isn't on the betting line, but rather the total.
Arizona State Sun Devils
Interim head coach Shaun Aguano has stressed tempo since taking over play-calling duties. It's been going rather swimmingly.
Arizona State has averaged almost eight more plays per game over the last three games and is fresh off 83 snaps in a track meet against UCLA.
And just like that, Sparky becomes watchable.
The new-look offense features Trenton Bourguet in for Emory Jones under center. Bourguet, a Tucson native, has gone off in two full games of action.
He's completed 72 of his 90 attempts (76%) through a pair of starts while helping the Sun Devils average 39 points per game for an offense getting a good glimpse at its post-Herm Edwards potential.
Elijhah Badger has been the go-to receiver all season. His 53 catches, 710 yards and five receiving scores all lead the offense.
The Sun Devils defense, meanwhile, hasn't stood a chance since…the beginning of the season. They started the season with depth trouble in key spots, sustained through both the transfer portal and injury.
ASU has never really been able to get on track, and as a result, the Sun Devils enter Week 11 giving up the seventh-most total yards per game among Power Five defenses.
Washington State Cougars
Washington State exceeding expectations is nearly signed, sealed and delivered.
The Cougars' preseason win total was 5.5, and they're comfortable touchdown-sized favorites to cash the over Saturday.
Other than allowing some Havoc here and there offensively, outsiders may have a tough time pinpointing a true flaw for the improved Cougars.
Their defense is among the top 40 in Line Yards, Rush Success Rate, Finishing Drives and Havoc.
The offense, meanwhile, led by Incarnate Word transfer quarterback Cameron Ward, has been feast or famine at times. However, the Cougars' peripherals still look good, especially how they protect up front for the fourth-most pass-happy offense in the nation.
Arizona State vs Washington State Matchup Analysis
Toggle the dropdowns below to hide or show how Arizona State and Washington State match up statistically:
Arizona State Offense vs. Washington State Defense
 | Offense | Defense |  Edge |
| Rush Success | 91 | 82 | |
| Line Yards | 56 | 39 | |
| Pass Success | 32 | 37 | |
| Pass Blocking** | 100 | 86 | |
| Havoc | 81 | 29 | |
| Finishing Drives | 32 | 26 | |
| ** Pass Blocking (Off.) vs. Pass Rush (Def.) | |||
Washington State Offense vs. Arizona State Defense
| Offense | Defense | Edge |
| Rush Success | 39 | 121 | |
| Line Yards | 53 | 124 | |
| Pass Success | 71 | 98 | |
| Pass Blocking** | 39 | 58 | |
| Havoc | 115 | 109 | |
| Finishing Drives | 49 | 128 | |
| ** Pass Blocking (Off.) vs. Pass Rush (Def.) | |||
Pace of Play / Other
| | |
| PFF Tackling | 47 | 7 |
| PFF Coverage | 93 | 30 |
| SP+ Special Teams | 17 | 38 |
| Seconds per Play | 28.2 (103) | 25.1 (38) |
| Rush Rate | 49.8% (91) | 40.3% (127) |
Data via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD), FootballOutsiders, SP+, Pro Football Focus and SportSource Analytics.
Arizona State vs Washington State Betting Pick
Betting overs when Arizona State is an underdog may be the gift that keeps on giving the rest of the year.
The proof's in the pudding: Since Aguano took over the offensive script, the scoreboard has been obliterated, and the pace has skyrocketed.
Washington State, meanwhile, is facing a defense among the bottom 10 in Rush Success Rate, Line Yards and Havoc in its home confines, where the Cougars have averaged eight more points per game than they have on the road.
Neither team runs the ball, and the Sun Devils, despite their shortcomings, are among the top 35 nationally in Pass Success Rate.
Expect points — in bunches.
Pick: Over 59.5 ⋅ Play to 61 |
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