College Football Odds, Predictions for Arizona vs Stanford
Via Kevin Langley/Getty Images. Pictured: Arizona wide receiver Tetairoa McMillan.
Arizona vs Stanford Odds
| Arizona Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-12.5 -115 | 60.5 -105o / -115u | -450 |
| Stanford Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+12.5 -105 | 60.5 -105o / -115u | +340 |
Arizona begins its PAC-12 schedule with a Saturday trip to the Farm against Stanford.
Arizona enters this game with a 2-1 record, including a bounce-back win over UTEP last week following an overtime loss in Starkville in Week 2. The Wildcats are 3-0 against the spread, and the total has gone under in each of their three games.
Stanford enters with a 1-2 record that includes consecutive losses to USC and Sacramento State. The Cardinal are 1-2 against the spread, and the total has stayed Under in two of their three games.
Will the Wildcats jump out to a 1-0 start in conference play, or will the Cardinal bounce back after a home loss to an FCS team last week?
Read our betting preview, pick and prediction for Arizona vs. Stanford below.
Jedd Fisch is making steady improvements to the Arizona program.
After a 1-11 debut season, he followed that up with a 5-7 record last year. This year, he has the Wildcats off to a 2-1 start, averaging 31.0 points per game and 7.7 yards per play. They have a 54% Success Rate and 3.91 Points per Opportunity.
Jayden de Laura leads the Wildcats offense that passes the ball 35 times per game for an average of 310.7 yards. De Laura has completed 73.7% of his passes for an average of 9.2 yards per attempt, but turnovers continue to bite him.
Last season, de Laura threw the sixth-most interceptions (13) in college football, and he has five interceptions to just eight touchdowns this year. Per PFF, de Laura has only six Big Time Throws to seven Turnover Worthy Plays.
As a team, Arizona has a 55% Passing Success Rate, which ranks 11th nationally.
Led by Michael Wiley, the Arizona offense averages 28 rush attempts per game for 173.7 yards per game. Wiley is averaging 4.4 yards per carry and has one touchdown.
The team is averaging 6.2 yards per carry and has a 57% Rushing Success Rate, also ranking 11th nationally. Their offensive line has generated a strong 3.9 Line Yards per attempt while allowing just an 11.4% Stuff Rate.
On defense, the Wildcats have allowed 14.7 points per game and 4.8 yards per play. They've allowed a 34% Success Rate and have held opponents to just 2.5 Points per Opportunity while generating Havoc on 18% of plays, which ranks 89th nationally.
Troy Taylor is off to a slow start in his debut season at Stanford.
After a road win over Hawaii, Stanford was obliterated by USC at the Coliseum before losing as a seven-point home favorite to Sacramento State, Taylor's former team.
The Cardinal are averaging 23.3 points per game and 5.7 yards per play with a 43% Success Rate and 4.3 Points per Opportunity.
The Cardinal average 28.3 pass attempts per game and 198.3 passing yards per game. Ashton Daniels has started all three games at quarterback, but Justin Lamson has played the second half in the last two contests. The duo is competing 54.1% of their passes with a 43% Passing Success Rate.
While the Cardinal have a phenomenal tight end in Benjamin Yurosek, they lack playmaking at receiver after losing their top-three wideouts from 2022.
The Stanford offense has averaged 39 rush attempts per game and 182.3 rushing yards per game. They split their rushing workload between two guys, Casey Filkins and E.J. Smith, and the quarterbacks. Filkins and Smith have been incredibly efficient, averaging more than 7.0 yards per attempt.
As a team, the Cardinal have a 44% Rushing Success Rate.
The defense has been lousy, particularly against the pass. The Cardinal have allowed 36.7 points per game and 6.8 yards per play. Their 342.3 passing yards allowed per game ranks fifth-worst nationally, and their 48% Passing Success Rate allowed ranks 116th nationally.
These struggles have been accentuated by their complete inability to stop long drives. Their six Points per Opportunity allowed is the second worst in the FBS.
Toggle the dropdowns below to hide or show how Arizona and Stanford match up statistically:
Arizona Offense vs. Stanford Defense
 | Offense | Defense | Edge |
| Rush Success | 11 | 110 | |
| Line Yards | 11 | 116 | |
| Pass Success | 11 | 116 | |
| Havoc | 89 | 128 | |
| Finishing Drives | 60 | 132 | |
| Quality Drives | 81 | 130 |
Stanford Offense vs. Arizona Defense
| Offense | Defense | Edge |
| Rush Success | 73 | 26 | |
| Line Yards | 125 | 14 | |
| Pass Success | 68 | 94 | |
| Havoc | 99 | 70 | |
| Finishing Drives | 50 | 22 | |
| Quality Drives | 99 | 36 |
Pace of Play / Other
| ||
| PFF Tackling | 77 | 114 |
| PFF Coverage | 118 | 112 |
| Special Teams SP+ | 81 | 54 |
| Middle 8 | 31 | 122 |
| Seconds per Play | 27.8 (81) | 28.3 (89) |
| Rush Rate | 44.4% (118) | 57.9% (47) |
Arizona vs. Stanford
Betting Pick & Prediction
As of writing, both sharps and the public appear to be backing Arizona. Roughly 78% of bets and 82% of the money are on Arizona.
Additionally, according to The Action Network App's PRO Report, sharp money has hit Arizona.
As a result, Arizona is now a 12.5-point favorite at some books after opening as a 9.5-point favorite.
Still, I'm betting Arizona covers the increasing spread. I'll be on the 'Cats at anything under two touchdowns.
The biggest concern for Arizona is a potential lack of possessions. But with de Laura under center and star receivers Tetairoa McMillan and Jacob Cowing, Arizona's unlikely to see resistance in the passing game.
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