Boston College at Notre Dame Betting Odds, Picks, Predictions: Is This Spread High Enough?
Matt Cashore, USA Today Sports. Pictured: Braden Lenzy
- Notre Dame is a three-touchdown favorite over Boston College in updated odds for Saturday's game (2:30 p.m. ET, NBC).
- BC needs one more win to get bowl eligible, while Notre Dame is fighting for an outside shot at a New Year's Six bowl.
- Collin Wilson breaks down this game and gives his betting pick.
Boston College at Notre Dame Betting Odds
- Spread: Notre Dame -21
- Over/Under: 64
- Time: 2:30 p.m. ET
- TV: NBC
Boston College needs one more win to get bowl eligible, but it doesn’t seem like it will happen this week.
The Eagles and their porous defense will travel to Notre Dame to take on the Irish and their dynamic passing attack that lit up Navy last week.
Can BC keep this close enough to cover, or will it struggle to play from behind?
Model Prediction for BC-Notre Dame
- Spread: Notre Dame -18.6
- Total: 60.4
Wilson: How I’m Betting This Game
The game plan against Navy was simple for Notre Dame. Ian Book went straight to the air against a Midshipmen defense that was outside the top 80 in passing success rate. The Irish found themselves up 28-0 after their first four drives, all a result of touchdown passes by Book.
Boston College comes into South Bend looking for a victory to become bowl eligible.
The Eagles rank 118th in defensive passing success rate and 126th in explosive passing allowed, which should have Notre Dame on a steady diet of explosive pass attempts.
Boston College will have issues applying pressure with a havoc rank of 60th and a sack rate of 124th. This will be Notre Dame’s seventh opponent coming off a bye week, a data point that head coach Brian Kelly reminds the media of each Monday. Kelly is looking to boost Notre Dame’s rank of 16th, something that might have been a factor in scoring 50-plus on Navy.
Because the Fiesta and Peach Bowl host the College Football Playoff semifinals, the Irish have just one open spot to compete for a New Year’s Six at-large bid.
Notre Dame should be able to contain enough of the Boston College rush attack while getting points on the board quickly. Expect the Irish to continue to make a statement this week and through Stanford next week in hopes of jumping high enough in the rankings to warrant a trip to Arlington.
Pick: Notre Dame -20.5 [In New Jersey? Bet now at PointsBet]