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Situational spots are popping Saturday in Week 11.
College football betting systems – specifically focusing on letdowns and hangovers — circled three teams to fade this weekend.
One of the key PRO Systems active on Saturday is labeled "Bounce-Back Fade." The public likely assumes several teams Saturday in Week 11 will rebound. Yet, research shows these teams are actually horrible picks to cover.
Below, I've got three spread predictions for Saturday in Week 11, which match a bunch of different letdown formulas. Let me explain which teams are overvalued this weekend, which sides to pick, the model explanations and more.
College Football ATS Picks Saturday: 3 Clear-Cut Letdown Spots
Motivation is a factor across college football on a weekly basis. Determining how to value or assign it team by team, though, is tough work.
However, with the help of Bet Labs, director of research Evan Abrams built a bunch of letdown-focused systems. Using filters like past game results, betting splits from PRO data, spread range and more, we can craft some makeshift models to figure out where the public may be wrong in gauging teams emotionally.
These are the three hot Saturday games to pick against the spread:
Duke is playing its second consecutive road game. Miami is -13.5, off a loss to Notre Dame.
Cal heads east for a cross-country trip at Virginia (-10).
Kentucky, meanwhile, is a short favorite vs. Florida (-3.5).
Duke vs. Miami Spread Pick
I've tracked multiple systems suggesting that the Miami Hurricanes are
