College Football Picks & Projections: Where Betting Value Lies on Alabama vs. Ole Miss & Baylor vs. Kansas State
Justin Ford/Getty Images. Pictured: Ole Miss quarterback Jaxson Dart.
College football Saturday has arrived, meaning there are a number of opportunities to take advantage of mispriced lines.
At the Action Network, we build projections that aim to take advantage of these opportunities, and today they apply to a few big games.
We'll be looking at both Alabama vs. Ole Miss and Kansas State vs. Baylor in this piece.
Let's jump into the projections
Odds and data as of Saturday at 10:45 a.m. ET.
College Football Projections
Alabama vs. Ole Miss
3:30 p.m. ET
The Crimson Tide are coming off of a rough result against LSU, and our projections indicate they are being overvalued in this spot.
Alabama is a consensus 11/11.5-point favorite across the board, but our PRO projections indicate they are a 7.1-point favorite, giving you a 4.6% edge against the market price.
The best current available number for this bet is over at FanDuel, who has Ole Miss at +11.5 (-110).
Kansas State vs. Baylor
7 p.m. ET
The night contest brings a battle between Kansas State and Baylor. In this case, we project that the favorite is not getting enough respect in this position.
The Bears are -2.5 favorites on the market, but the estimated fair spread for them is -4.6. In this instance, that's a 4.7% edge on the market price.
Additionally, that edge pushes through the key number of 3, offering a little extra juice on the play.
Pick: Baylor -2.5 (-110 via Caesars)