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Wilson: Projecting Week 12 College Football Over/Unders

Nov 13, 2018 10:43 PM EST

College football over/unders are released early in the week and can see heavy movement because of weather, injury or scheme. This column serves as your first look at the projected totals for Week 12’s college football matchups.

These numbers are based on a mathematical projection of yards per play, plays per game, adjusted pace and efficiency. The Action Network Power Ratings, which can be used to create point spreads, can be found here.

When the totals are released (usually mid-afternoon on Mondays at Bookmaker and/or BetOnline), I’ll compare my over/unders to what oddsmakers have posted to find betting value before the odds move.

Discrepancies in weather, injuries and standard passing down/run rate are all factors when investing on a total.

Be sure to follow me on The Action Network app to get alerts whenever I make a pick off these numbers.


College Football Week 12 Over/Under Projections

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Credit:

Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports Pictured: Georgia Bulldogs wide receiver Jeremiah Holloman

Follow Collin Wilson on Twitter
@_Collin1

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SCHEDULE
OPEN
CURR
# BETS
59
-4
58.5
-3.5
64.5
-11
66.5
-8
52
-3
53.5
-4
48
PK
47.5
+1
50.5
-7.5
50.5
-6.5
-2.5
44
-2.5
43.5
55
-4.5
54
-3
-3
54.5
-2.5
55.5
-6
66.5
-5.5
68.5
48
-11
48.5
-12
-2.5
73
-5
74
67.5
-5
67
-3
-3
53.5
-2.5
52.5
-1.5
57.5
PK
60
55
-3.5
55
-3
61
-3.5
60
-3.5
41
-2
40.5
PK
56.5
-3
55
-3.5
-3
47
-4
47
-6.5
55
-3.5
55.5
54.5
-5
54.5
-3.5
-7
74
-1.5
68
54.5
-6.5
54.5
-3.5
50.5
-6
50.5
-7.5
-6.5
55
-4
54.5
-2
58.5
-1.5
60.5
56
-11
55
-12
79
-13.5
81.5
-14
-6.5
53.5
-5
53.5
-6.5
52
-6.5
52
48
-1.5
48
-3
-10
71
-8
74
45
-6.5
46.5
-7
58.5
-4.5
58.5
-5
-5
44.5
-7
44
-8
54.5
-7.5
55.5
48
-4
47.5
-6.5
58.5
-5
58
-6.5
58
-10.5
58
-11.5

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