The Colorado State Rams take on the Boise State Broncos in Boise, Idaho, on Saturday, Nov. 22. Kickoff is set for 7 p.m. ET on FS1.
Boise State is favored by 17.5 points on the spread with a moneyline of -800. Colorado State, meanwhile, enters as a +17.5 underdog and is +600 on the moneyline to pull off the upset. The over/under sits at 45.5 total points.
Here’s my Colorado State vs. Boise State prediction and college football picks for Saturday, November 22.
Colorado State vs Boise State Prediction
- Colorado State vs. Boise State Pick: Boise State Team Total Under 31.5
My Boise State vs. Colorado State best bet is on the Broncos to go under their team total. Find the best line available on our live NCAAF odds page.
Colorado State vs Boise State Odds
| Colorado St Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+17.5 -115 | 45.5 -110o / -110u | +600 |
| Boise State Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-17.5 -105 | 45.5 -110o / -110u | -800 |
- Colorado State vs Boise State Spread: Boise State -17.5, Colorado State +17.5
- Colorado State vs Boise State Over/Under: 45.5 Points
- Colorado State vs Boise State Moneyline: Colorado State +600, Boise State -800
Colorado State vs Boise State College Football Betting Preview
Colorado State Rams Betting Preview: Lean Times in Fort Collins
Colorado State has had such a disappointing season and finds itself tied for last in the Mountain West.
The Rams had some hype as a dark-horse MW contender this season and had a decent showing at Washington to start the campaign.
Nearly every performance since that season-opening loss has been filled with mental errors, poor execution and baffling coaching decisions, which ultimately led to the dismissal of head coach Jay Norvell.
Quarterback Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi never developed during his tenure in Fort Collins, and the offense has been choppy and jerky all season long. Last month, Fowler-Nicolosi left the program, expecting to enter the transfer portal.
The Rams defense has played well at times this season when not put in tough positions by the offense, due to turnovers or quick possessions.
The front seven has been gashed on numerous occasions, giving up 186 yards per game and five yards per carry this season. With a major focus on stopping the run this week, I expect better numbers from this defensive front against Boise State.
Boise State Broncos Betting Preview: No CFP This Year
Boise State was the preseason favorite to represent the Group of Five in the College Football Playoff this season, but those hopes were quickly derailed in the season-opening loss to South Florida.
A loss to Notre Dame effectively ended the Broncos' bid, but after the last two weeks' results, Boise State is now likely to miss the Mountain West Championship game altogether.
Its season has been completely derailed due to the injury of starting quarterback Maddux Madsen. The offense has sputtered, and backup quarterback Max Cutforth has struggled mightily in his two appearances.
The Boise State defense has played better over the last couple of weeks, and the Broncos will need another spirited defensive effort in this one as well.
Early in the season, Boise got shredded by Air Force, New Mexico and UNLV, but it has hung in there despite the offense putting it in really bad spots the last couple of weeks.
I expect another defensive slugfest in this matchup with Colorado State this weekend.
Colorado State vs Boise State Pick, Betting Analysis
The line on this one came out at Boise State -17 with a total of 45.5. This implies a Bronco team total of 31.5, and I think there's value on the under.
Boise State has had significant offensive issues over the last couple of weeks without Madsen in the lineup. We've seen the backup, Cutforth, struggle in both outings he has played significant snaps in, completing just 26-of-47 passes for 210 yards in the two games.
Boise has scored just seven points in back-to-back games, and I don’t trust the offense to move the ball effectively enough to have enough chances to score a lot.
Chris Marshall is Boise’s leading pass receiver, and he's listed as out for this matchup, as is third-leading receiver Ben Ford. Boise State hasn't shown to have capable replacements in the receiver room to step up and make contested catches, and it will have just one player in this game who has more than 25 catches on the season.
We've seen the passing explosiveness take a significant step back this year, as the Broncos are just 73rd nationally in Passing Success Rate and 92nd in overall Offensive Success Rate.
Dylan Riley and Sire Gaines have been serviceable running backs for Boise State this season, but the production has been nowhere near last year, and the explosiveness in the rushing attack has suffered.
Boise State had one of the more lethal rushing attacks in the country last season, but this year, it ranks just 101st in Rushing Success Rate and 109th in explosiveness on the ground.
I think Colorado State will do enough defensively in a slower-paced game to limit Boise State's scoring chances and keep the Broncos out of the end zone.
Boise should win this game, but I expect the full game to be lower-scoring. The Broncos; team total is too high here.
Pick: Boise State Team Total Under 31.5
Colorado State vs Boise State Betting Trends
