College Football Odds, Picks & Predictions for Georgia Tech vs. Miami
Photo by Mitchell Leff/Getty Images. Pictured: Tyler Van Dyke (Miami)
Georgia Tech vs. Miami Odds
| Georgia Tech Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+19.5 -105 | 57.5 -110o / -110u | +800 |
| Miami Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-19.5 -115 | 57.5 -110o / -110u | -1400 |
This season, Texas seems to officially be back, and the Miami Hurricanes may not be too far behind. What year are we even in?
The Hurricanes have made it to October undefeated, with a statement win over Texas A&M. Miami has played no one else of note this year, but early signs indicate the Hurricanes are strong on both sides of the ball.
This week couldn’t come soon enough for Georgia Tech after falling prey to one of the biggest upsets of the season. The Yellow Jackets closed as 21-point favorites against Bowling Green and built a two-score lead before completely falling apart and losing by 11.
Miami has flirted with early-season success before, only to crumble down the stretch. Are the Hurricanes for real? Or will Georgia Tech rebound from a nightmare performance?
Georgia Tech isn’t the worst team in the ACC, but it probably has the worst loss. The Yellow Jackets didn’t just lose to Bowling Green last week, but they were thoroughly outplayed, allowing 38 unanswered points after jumping out to a 14-0 lead.
Prior to Tech’s 38-27 loss against the Falcons, it had looked like Brent Key’s team had gotten its season on track with a 14-point win at Wake Forest.
Georgia Tech had previously only lost to undefeated Louisville and a ranked Ole Miss squad.
Whether last week’s game was a fluke will be flushed out against the Hurricanes. Even in the loss, Haynes King and the passing offense have been clicking. The Texas A&M transfer has accounted for 16 touchdowns this year, and his 296.0 yards passing per game are 12th in the country.
Before last week, the ground game had also served as a nice complement to King (averaging 192 yards a game), but a 69-yard performance against a Bowling Green front seven is a major red flag against a strong Miami defense.
Georgia Tech’s defense has been mediocre — at best — this season, including allowing 438 yards to Bowling Green, the Falcons’ season-high against FBS competition.
The Yellow Jackets made the decision this week to demote defensive coordinator Andrew Thacker, elevating former linebackers coach Kevin Sherrer in his place.
The Yellow Jackets' run defense has been their biggest flaw. Ole Miss fell one yard short of 300, while all three of Georgia Tech’s Power Five opponents have rushed for more than 220 yards.
Miami is undefeated and rested as it opens ACC play at home, two weeks removed from its most recent game at Temple – a 41-7 rout.
Miami’s resume includes an impressive 48-33 win over Texas A&M in which quarterback Tyler Van Dyke played like the player many people expected him to in 2022, passing for 374 yards and five touchdowns.
Miami’s passing offense has shown major signs of improvement this season, ranking seventh in Pass Success Rate and 21st in passing offense (296.5 yards per game). Van Dyke’s 10.5 yards per attempt are the eighth best in the country.
Even with the resurgence of Van Dyke, the Hurricanes' ground game has been even more effective. Miami’s 222.5 yards per game are 10th in the FBS. Miami’s stable of rushers, led by Henry Parrish Jr., features five backs with double-digit carries, all averaging north of 5.0 yards per rush.
But as much as the rushing offense has excelled, Miami’s run defense is even better. The Hurricanes are second in the nation with just 48 yards rushing allowed per game, and they limited the Aggies to 3.3 yards per carry in their Week 2 matchup.
Texas A&M passed for a season-high 336 yards against Miami, but it needed a season-high 53 passes to do so. The Hurricanes have held opponents to only a 57.4 completion percentage.
Toggle the dropdowns below to hide or show how Georgia Tech and Miami match up statistically:
Georgia Tech Offense vs. Miami Defense
 | Offense | Defense | Edge |
| Rush Success | 110 | 4 | |
| Line Yards | 33 | 5 | |
| Pass Success | 28 | 42 | |
| Havoc | 53 | 21 | |
| Finishing Drives | 61 | 46 | |
| Quality Drives | 26 | 16 |
Miami Offense vs. Georgia Tech Defense
| Offense | Defense | Edge |
| Rush Success | 26 | 102 | |
| Line Yards | 4 | 63 | |
| Pass Success | 7 | 62 | |
| Havoc | 9 | 72 | |
| Finishing Drives | 14 | 80 | |
| Quality Drives | 3 | 113 |
Pace of Play / Other
| ||
| PFF Tackling | 74 | 19 |
| PFF Coverage | 27 | 97 |
| Special Teams SP+ | 99 | 19 |
| Middle 8 | 38 | 5 |
| Seconds per Play | 25.0 (31) | 30.6 (124) |
| Rush Rate | 49.9% (109) | 54.8% (43) |
Georgia Tech vs. Miami
Betting Pick & Prediction
Miami has only faced one Power Five opponent this year, but it showed toughness bouncing back from a double-digit deficit in that game. It’s a legitimate contender to win the ACC.
Georgia Tech’s loss to Bowling Green was a real head-scratcher, but even in defeat, the offense still had an effective day. The Yellow Jackets will really test if Miami’s defense is actually strong or just the product of an easy schedule.
But even factoring in for the success the Yellow Jackets may have on offense, they’re still on a separate tier from the Hurricanes. Miami is close in quality to Ole Miss, a team that beat Georgia Tech by 25 points earlier in the season.
Miami’s offense shouldn’t have too much of a problem scoring against the Yellow Jackets. Georgia Tech has allowed at least 38 points in three of its first five games and ranks 112th in yards allowed (427.8)
I just can’t trust Georgia Tech to keep this close after being completely embarrassed only a week ago. The public has been all over the Hurricanes week, but I’m going to jump on the bandwagon with them as long as this line doesn't creep above three touchdowns.
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