Navy vs. Air Force Sharp Betting Pick: Pros Buying Back the Over/Under Trend (Oct. 3)


Dustin Bradford/Getty Images. Pictured: Kadin Remsberg

Navy vs. Air Force Odds

Navy Odds -7.5 [BET NOW]
Air Force Odds +7.5 [BET NOW]
Moneyline -265/+210 [BET NOW]
Over/Under 48 [BET NOW]
Time Saturday, 6 p.m. ET
TV CBS Sports Network

Odds updated Friday and via DraftKings. Get up to a $1,000 sign-up bonus at DraftKings today or see more offers and reviews for the best online sportsbooks.

In case you hadn’t heard, there’s a notable betting trend surrounding college football games between service academy teams.

The under in such games is 35-9-1 over the past 15 years.

You can read more about that trend here, but the basic idea is that these teams play similar, run-heavy styles and are adept at defending them, keeping points off the board and the clock on the move.

Today’s Navy-Air Force total opened at 48, and since many bettors are well aware of the trend, 82% of bets have landed on the under, which caused a gradual drop to 45 by midweek.

But based on how the line has moved since, it seems that sharps thought that was too big of a drop.

Data as of 1:50 p.m. ET. For immediate access to our new NFL PRO Report for every Week 3 game, start a Free Trial today! You’ll also get:

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Navy vs. Air Force Sharp Betting Pick

Sports Insights Bet Signals — which track and record instances of market movement specifically caused by sharp action — were triggered twice shortly after noon ET today, confirming professional activity on the over at 46.5 and 47.

That pair makes for a total of five Bet Signals hitting the over since Thursday, and that, compared with the three that hit the under earlier in the week, gives the over the Sharp Action edge in our new PRO Report feature:

[Try PRO for FREE to track all the sharp action hitting the Week 5 slate.]

The total now sits at 47.5 or 48 at most books, though it’s worth noting that all five confirmed cases of sharp action on the over have come at lines of 47 or less.

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