The New Mexico Lobos take on the UNLV Rebels in Las Vegas, Nev. Kickoff is set for 3:00 p.m. EDT on MW Network.
UNLV is favored by 3.5 points on the spread with a moneyline of -170. The total is set at 61.5 points.
Here’s my New Mexico vs. UNLV prediction and college football picks for Saturday, November 1, 2025.
New Mexico vs UNLV Prediction
- New Mexico vs. UNLV Pick: New Mexico +4.5 or Better
My UNLV vs. New Mexico best bet is on the Lobos. Find the best line available on our live NCAAF odds page.
New Mexico vs UNLV Odds
| New Mexico Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+3.5 -110 | 61.5 -110o / -110u | +145 |
| UNLV Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-3.5 -110 | 61.5 -110o / -110u | -170 |
- New Mexico vs UNLV point spread: UNLV -3.5 (-110), New Mexico +3.5 (-110)
- New Mexico vs UNLV over/under: 61.5 (-110o / -110u)
- New Mexico vs UNLV moneyline: New Mexico +145, UNLV -170
New Mexico vs UNLV Pick
If you've read this piece this season, you know I'm not a believer in this 6-1 Rebels squad. They started the season with wins over Sam Houston, Idaho State, and the previous corpse of UCLA — and didn't look great in the process.
They then followed that up with a pair of road wins over Miami (OH) and Wyoming.
However, they were about to get blown out of the water in Oxford before Dequan Finn suffered an injury on a pick-six late in the first half. Even with a backup quarterback, Miami still was in position to win before a late red-zone fumble.
Against Wyoming in a hail storm, the Rebels pulled out a 14-point victory in large part due to a pair of punt blocks they returned for touchdowns.
The Cowboys (who went 1-for-3 on fourth down compared to UNLV's 2-for-2 mark) finished with over 100 more net yards and a higher net yards per play.
UNLV then pulled out a last-minute comeback win over Air Force, 51-48, after allowing over 600 yards of total offense.
It once again benefited from winning the turnover battle (a key fumble that led to a short field touchdown) and an Air Force missed 40-yard game-tying kick at the end of regulation.
And in its most recent game, UNLV got dominated on the road by Boise State
Its strength of schedule lies outside the top 100, but it has benefited from UCLA's post-coaching change rebound and Miami (OH) playing with its starting quarterback since.
The Rebels have also been quite fortunate in the turnover department, holding a +10 margin. Their per-game average of +1.2 ranks in the top-10 nationally, while New Mexico has been on the complete opposite end of the spectrum — ahead of only Florida Atlantic in that department.
Don't be surprised if a few bounces go New Mexico's way.
The Lobos, under the tutelage of rising star head coach Jason Eck, should be able to run their offense with ease all game against a Rebels defense that can't stop the run.
In fact, they rank dead last in the country in yards before contact allowed. That will enable the Lobos to stay ahead of the sticks and run their stuff against a very undisciplined defense.
Ultimately, I don't see much difference between these teams in a game that should come down to which team has the ball last, so I happily took the five points with the conference road dog.
Pick: New Mexico +4.5 or Better
