The Samford Bulldogs take on the Texas A&M Aggies in College Station, Texas. Kickoff is set for 12 p.m. ET on SEC Network+.
Texas A&M is favored by -54.5 points on the spread with game totals set at 59.5 points.
Here’s my Samford vs. Texas A&M prediction and college football picks for Saturday, November 22.
Samford vs Texas A&M Prediction
- Samford vs. Texas A&M Pick: Texas A&M 1H -31.5 (Play to -34.5)
My Texas A&M vs. Samford best bet is on the Aggies to cover the first-half spread. Find the best line available on our live NCAAF odds page.
Samford vs Texas A&M Odds
| Samford Odds | |
|---|---|
| Spread | Total |
+54.5 -110 | 59.5 -110o / -110u |
| Texas A&M Odds | |
|---|---|
| Spread | Total |
-54.5 -110 | 59.5 -110o / -110u |
- Samford vs Texas A&M Spread: Samford +54.5, Texas A&M -54.5
- Samford vs Texas A&M Over/Under: 59.5 Points
Samford vs Texas A&M College Football Betting Preview
Samford Bulldogs Betting Preview: Can't Keep Up
Samford has struggled through one of its worst seasons in recent history, as the Bulldogs come into this one with just one win to their credit in 2025.
This once-proud SoCon program was decimated in the transfer portal this offseason, and the indicators were there that this group might struggle after a season-opening loss against FCS transitional school West Georgia.
Things escalated after a four-touchdown loss at home against The Citadel, and we haven’t seen a lot of things to like out of the Bulldogs.
The Samford defense is the biggest liability. The stop unit has allowed 453 yards per game and over 6.5 yards per play this season.
The Bulldogs struggle with giving up explosive plays, and a mediocre pass rush puts a lot of pressure on the secondary, which has not held up well. I'd expect lining up against Texas A&M to be a major challenge this week.
The offense has been the strength of the Bulldogs for years, as Samford has routinely fielded high-flying offenses that are fun to watch and score a lot of points.
This year’s offense is not that.
The Bulldogs have struggled through offensive line issues, injuries and horrific situational execution, averaging just 16 points per game this year. The offensive line struggles to generate any push in the run game with the Bulldogs averaging just 72 rushing yards per game and 2.2 yards per carry this season.
Quarterback Quincy Crittendon has shown a few flashes, and he has some dual-threat ability, but he has been under such duress all season that we haven’t seen him shine as he could.
The other issue with the offensive line has been poor pass protection. Samford quarterbacks have been sacked 51 times this year, and the Bulldogs have given up 98 tackles for loss.
There's no real path to offensive success in this game against Texas A&M based on the personnel that the Bulldogs are equipped with here.
Texas A&M Aggies Betting Preview: Blowout Incoming
Texas A&M used one of its nine lives last week in an absolute escape against South Carolina.
The Aggies were down, 30-3, and even after a ferocious second-half comeback, still had to hold off a late South Carolina charge.
This win last week kept A&M in the SEC title race and nearly assures that it will participate in the College Football Playoff at the conclusion of the season.
The showdown with Texas awaits next week, so how the Aggies approach this game will be intriguing.
Samford vs Texas A&M Pick, Betting Analysis
The line on this game is a whopping 54.5 points with a total of 59.5. I haven't seen a first-half line on this one as of writing, but I would imagine that the side and total are heavily adjusted to expect A&M getting out in front early here.
If we get Texas A&M -31.5 or less in the first half, I would look that way or possibly look at the first-half over.
The talent mismatch in this game will be staggering.
Samford has fallen hard and fast and is power-rated by many respected computer rankings as a bottom-five team in FCS. The Bulldogs can't run the football, and they can't pass protect, even against opponents in the Southern Conference.
A&M should have its way with Samford in the first half on defense. It would be astonishing if the Aggies surrendered more than three first downs with their starting defense on the field.
We should see the Texas A&M front creating pressure on Crittendon, causing the passing timing to be off. The Samford offensive line is not likely to hold up here against SEC-caliber athletes, and given that A&M has generated 38 sacks and 83 tackles for loss while playing in the SEC, this will be trouble for Samford.
The Samford defense is one of the poorest tackling and coverage units in FCS football. I expect A&M to put up explosive plays through the air, and the ground game should be able to get whatever they want at any time.
The defensive line won't challenge Aggies quarterback Marcel Reed or put much pressure on him. First-half quick-strike drives are expected.
My biggest fear about betting this game is the likelihood that the quarters get shortened in the second half, which would void all wagers.
I expect A&M to put up a massive point total in the first half, and I want to attack that market when it gets released.
Pick: Texas A&M 1H -31.5 (Play to -34.5)
Note: I'd also consider 1H over 38.5 or better.
