Each week, we will provide the three moneyline underdogs we feel hold the most betting value on Saturday’s card. You can play them straight, throw them in a longshot parlay or just read for some additional insight.
Let’s look at our Week 2 moneyline trio that would pay 21-1 if you’re brave enough to throw all three into a three-team parlay.
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Wilson: Duke +125
- Spread: Northwestern -3
- Over/Under: 49
- Time: Noon ET
- TV channel: ESPNU
Don’t be fooled by Northwestern’s win over Purdue. Pat Fitzgerald’s Cats left that game with a -1.57 net yard-per-play differential.
You might be tempted by the revenge angle, as Duke absolutely rocked the Wildcats last year in Durham by a score of 41-17 — but I just think the Blue Devils match up well.
Quarterback Daniel Jones is now healthy and should carve up the Northwestern secondary, which has holes. Jones has actually played well against the Wildcats in the past two seasons, including a dominant performance last year that saw him pass for 300-plus and run for 100-plus.
Running back Shaun Wilson left for the NFL in the offseason, but Duke’s running game still looked solid in Week 1. Expect the Blue Devils to gain big chunks against a Northwestern team that will be without two defensive tackles.
Take the points with the Dukies and add them to your round-robin moneyline parlays.
Stuckey: Liberty +250
- Spread: Army -8
- Time: Noon ET
- TV channel: CBS Sports Network
Going back to the well here. Last week, I had Liberty as my moneyline underdog, and I think I can almost copy my reasoning: “Home opener and first official FBS game for Liberty against an Old Dominion team I’m very low on? Sign me up for some Flames.”
Just switch Old Dominion to Army, which I’m also very low on — and change first to second official FBS game. I still think the market is undervaluing this Flames team that should play with a chip on its shoulder — especially in the early part of the season. And who doesn’t want to bet on a team with a quarterback nicknamed Buckshot?
This experienced team isn’t afraid of the road either, as it went down to Waco last season and upset Baylor as 34-point underdogs.
Give me Liberty, or give me death!
Barkley: Kansas +170 at Central Michigan
- Odds: Central Michigan -5
- Time: 3 p.m. ET
- TV: ESPN+
Because really, what better way to win an underdog ML than to pick a team that hasn’t won outright on the road in 46 games? Maybe I’ll include the Washington Generals moneyline next week.
Yes, Kansas just lost to Nicholls State — which is actually a ranked FCS team, for what it’s worth — but Saturday’s contest vs. the Chippewas represents one of the very few games this season where Kansas will have a talent advantage on the field.
Central Michigan had one of the most sneaky-awful box scores of Week 1. Despite a plus-four turnover margin in the first half alone, CMU still trailed at the half.
Think about that: four turnovers to zero — and the Chips still couldn’t even take a lead into the locker room against an average Kentucky team. Hard to do. They got dominated in first downs, total yards and whatever other stats you want to throw out there.
It’s quite possible that Central Michigan is one of the worst teams in FBS this season with all the lost production it has to replace. You might argue, “Well Kansas is one of the worst teams, too!” And even if I grant you that — maybe we just agree they’re both awful — and this number is just a point or two too high, with a reasonable likelihood the Jayhawks win outright.
Rock Chalk, Jayhawk!