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MACtion is officially back for another week.
Our college football writers came through with a pick for all three of Tuesday's MACtion games: Bowling Green vs. Kent State, Akron vs. Western Michigan and Miami (OH) vs. Ohio.
Let's dive into their Tuesday college football predictions and NCAAF picks for November 10.
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Tuesday College Football Predictions
The team logos in the table below represent each of the matchups that our college football betting staff is targeting from Tuesday's slate of MACtion games. Click on the team logos for any of the matchups below to navigate to a specific bet discussed in this article.
| Game | Time (ET) | Pick |
|---|---|---|
  | 7 p.m. | |
  | 7 p.m. | |
  | 8 p.m. | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our NCAAF Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | ||
Bowling Green vs. Kent State Pick
By RoadToCFB
The battle for the Anniversary Award has been pretty one-sided in favor of Bowling Green. The Falcons lead the rivalry, 62-25-6, and have won two of the last three games after dropping five straight from 2018-22.
Last year's game was a 24-21 comeback win for Kent State, which entered the game as a +8.5 'dog and effectively ended BG's bowl bid (it would go on to lose the next three straight, twice as a favorite).
Bowling Green opened up a -5.5 favorite, a number that ticked up to -6. The total in this game has waffled on either side of 45, a number of note in college football totals betting (and the number the game landed on last year).
Throughout the season, the strength of Bowling Green has come on defense ("strength" used exceptionally liberally here; it's not a strong unit by national comparison).
Defensive tackle Eriq George is playing at an all-conference level with six tackles for a loss over his last five games. The secondary is still pretty stout, and third-down defense has been a particularly successful aspect.
We're getting Kent State at a discount given the disastrous game it just showed us. But against opponents like Akron and Ball State, the Flashes are capable of winning.
This is a coaching staff familiar with BG and playing on the road at Doyt Perry Stadium — it's nothing like traveling across the country to play Sac State.
Kent State might even be the superior team here. There's a huge inflow of money on Kent to win this game outright. Bowling Green is completely out of things to play for with seven losses, while Kent is holding on to a lifeline with six losses.
Pick: Kent State +6 or Better
| | |
Akron vs. Western Michigan Pick
By Joshua Nunn
This line opened with Western Michigan listed as a 13.5-point favorite and has bounced between 13.5 and 14.5 over the last 48 hours. The total has been bet up slightly and sits at 48. I like WMU laying less than 14 in this matchup.
Akron has struggled with power run schemes this season. This defensive front got gashed by Minnesota early in the season, but giving up over 320 rushing yards to both Central Michigan and Miami (OH) was really concerning.
The Chips and RedHawks averaged 8.3 yards per rushing attempt combined, so I expect WMU to run the ball consistently here.
Akron grades out as the third-worst tackling team in the MAC, which is a driver of the explosive plays it has given up this season.
Ohio broke through with the backbreaking explosive plays in the second half last week after an apathetic first half, and I expect the rush explosives to be a problem for Akron defensively.
The Zips put together several solid possessions offensively, but some of those drives required some fluky happenstance.
Ohio surrendered a 31-yard run on third-and-28 that extended a drive and led to a field goal. An offensive fumble set Akron up for another field goal, and its touchdown drives were aided by a bogus roughing the passer penalty when there really wasn’t much there.
WMU's defensive effort won't be nearly as carefree in this matchup, and the pass rush will be much more effective. That will put pressure on Broughton, something we didn't see much of last week.
Pick: Western Michigan -13.5 or Better
| | |
Miami (OH) vs. Ohio Pick
By RoadToCFB
The Battle of the Bricks is one of the MAC's oldest and best rivalries. Miami leads the all-time series, 56-44-2, but Ohio is on a 15-5 run since 2006, including taking four of the last six.
Ohio is the superior team, playing better football at the moment. Miami has proven to be very fortunate with its cast of opposing backup QBs played and has come away operating by an extremely fine margin.
That's not a recipe for prolonged success against a team whose quarterback is back in the lineup and healthy.
This year, Miami has struggled against mobile quarterbacks — not necessarily by way of rushing production, but with those quarterbacks being able to extend plays and find explosive throws downfield.
Ohio QB Nick Poulos is the most physical runner Miami has seen yet this year.
The pivotal advantage Ohio has comes in the red zone. Miami's defense ranks 119th in Success Rate, while Ohio's offense ranks inside the top 20 (54.4%). Only eight teams score touchdowns in the red zone more frequently than the Bobcats (75%).
This line has moved in favor of Ohio, but given it moved through zero, a play on the Bobcats is still good.
Pick: Ohio ML -113 (Play to -125)
