The UNLV Rebels take on the Nevada Wolf Pack in Reno, Nevada. Kickoff is set for 9:00 p.m. EST on CBS Sports Network.
UNLV is favored by 7.5 points on the spread with a moneyline of -305. The total is set at 53.5 points.
Here’s my UNLV vs. Nevada prediction and college football picks for Saturday, November 29, 2025.
UNLV vs Nevada Prediction
- UNLV vs. Nevada Pick: Nevada +7 or Better
My Nevada vs. UNLV best bet is on the Wolf Pack to cover. Find the best line available on our live NCAAF odds page.
UNLV vs Nevada Odds
| UNLV Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-7.5 -110 | 53.5 -110o / -110u | -305 |
| Nevada Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+7.5 -110 | 53.5 -110o / -110u | +240 |
- UNLV vs Nevada point spread: UNLV -7.5
- UNLV vs Nevada over/under: 53.5
- UNLV vs Nevada moneyline: UNLV -305, Nevada +240
UNLV vs Nevada Preview
UNLV Rebels Betting Preview: Firepower, Flaws & All
UNLV enters this matchup with one of the most efficient and explosive offenses in the country.
The Rebels rank 25th nationally in EPA per Pass, sixth in EPA per Rush, and convert 56.3% of available yards, consistently turning drives into scoring chances.
But despite the impressive offensive metrics, there are several matchup concerns for Saturday.
Nevada's defensive structure is built to slow down efficiency-driven attacks like UNLV's.
The Wolf Pack rank 35th in Starting Field Position, forcing opponents to drive long fields, and UNLV already starts in poor field position more than most teams.
Nevada is also quietly respectable on passing downs, ranking 62nd nationally in EPA per Pass Allowed, which reduces the Rebels' passing edge more than the raw stats suggest.
The more glaring issue for UNLV is on defense, a unit that has been propping up a two-loss record on unsustainable third-down results.
UNLV ranks 132nd nationally in EPA per Rush Allowed and 107th in Early Downs EPA Allowed, meaning opponents can stay ahead of schedule and avoid third-and-long situations. In short, the Rebels are vulnerable against methodical offenses.
Defensive injuries in the front seven have only added to the concern, with multiple rotational pieces banged up over the past few weeks.
Nevada Wolf Pack Betting Preview: Ugly… but Dangerous
Nevada's offensive metrics look rough at first glance — 133rd nationally in EPA per Pass and 101st in EPA per Rush — but this matchup dramatically softens those weaknesses.
UNLV's defensive profile is exactly the kind that allows struggling offenses to find rhythm, stay on schedule, and extend drives.
The Wolf Pack convert only 37.5% of their third-down opportunities. Still, UNLV's defense is due for heavy regression after holding opponents under 35% on third down despite being one of the nation's worst early-down defenses.
Nevada also has real defensive advantages.
The Pack force long fields, limit short-field opportunities, and match up well on passing downs. In addition, the Wolf Pack are the healthier team entering the rivalry.
Motivation is also a major factor.
Nevada treats UNLV as its Super Bowl every year, and at home, this becomes a very different dynamic than market perception implies.
The Wolf Pack thrive in ugly, low-tempo, grind-heavy game scripts, exactly the kind of profile that inflates the value of catching over a touchdown.
UNLV vs Nevada Pick, Betting Analysis
This rivalry is projected to be played at a moderate tempo with limited explosive-play risk, which elevates possession value and makes catching a touchdown extremely attractive.
UNLV's defense is stretched thin, poor on early downs, vulnerable to the run, and dealing with injuries — a problematic combination in a matchup where Nevada can drag them into a slower, one-possession style of game.
I am still concerned about Nevada's offense, but I can't trust UNLV's defense laying more than a touchdown on the road.
Pick: Nevada +7 or Better
UNLV vs Nevada Betting Trends
