College Football PrizePicks Bets for Week 4: Player Prop Picks for Demie Sumo-Karngbaye, Cam Camper, More (Sept. 24)
David Jensen/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images. Pictured: NC State running back Demie Sumo-Karngbaye.
- Saturday's Week 4 college football games feature a number of player props with value.
- We see value on a PrizePicks parlay that features Indiana's Cam Camper, NC State's Demie Sumo-Karngbaye and more.
- Check out all five of our picks for Saturday's PrizePicks parlay below.
College football player props are back with a full slate of options at our disposal for Saturday, and Action Network has you covered with our best plays for the Week 4 slate.
If you enjoy college football player prop betting and are interested in weekly statistical projections, please make sure to check out our friends at theCFFsite, who compile the data that can give you the edge against the books.
College Football PrizePicks Player Props for Week 4
In the table below, you'll find each of our college football staff's top player prop picks from Saturday's slate of games. Click on any pick or team logo to navigate to a specific bet discussed in this article.
|Specific bet recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our NCAAF Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game.|
Missouri vs. Auburn
WR Luther Burden Receptions
Breaking news alert — good things happen when Missouri gets the ball to its five-star receiver.
Head coach Eli Drinkwitz was very public with his comments last week about getting Luther Burden more involved in the offense. He made good on his quotes, as Burden had a season-high seven receptions on seven targets in the win over Abilene Christian.
Mizzou has a step up in class this week against Auburn, but a few things are working for Burden with this prop.
For one, the staff making it a point to get its star playmaker more involved in the offense. But more importantly, Missouri has not run the football with much consistency this season, as quarterback Brady Cook is actually the team’s leading rusher through three games.
That, combined with the fact that the Tigers enter as a touchdown underdog in this matchup, should result in a positive game script for Burden.
Pick: Luther Burden Over 3.5 Receptions
TCU vs. SMU
QB Max Duggan Passing Yards
This number is completely inflated based on Max Duggan’s 390-yard, five-touchdown performance in Week 2 against Tarleton State.
The senior quarterback will start in place of an injured Chandler Morris against an SMU team that’s allowing over 370 yards of total offense per game to its opposition. And you can make the argument this is a new system under head coach Sonny Dykes, who loves to air it out as we’ve seen at his past stops.
The fact of the matter is Duggan has hit this number just twice in 34 career games played. That’s not to say he can’t be successful this Saturday against a vulnerable SMU defense, but this is a huge number to hit.
We’re getting around 66 yards to play with here, as theCFFsite’s projections call for 252 passing yards this week from the TCU quarterback.
Pick: Max Duggan Under 318.5 Passing Yards
Indiana vs. Cincinnati
WR Cam Camper Receptions
Play of the week here.
Cam Camper, the former junior college transfer, now ranks third in the country in targets (43) behind only SMU’s Rashee Rice and UTEP’s Tyrin Smith — who has also played an extra game.
We know the volume will be there, as he’s seen at least 11 targets in each game played. The only way this prop doesn’t hit is if quarterback Connor Bazelak fails to get Camper the ball consistently.
While Camper’s 43 targets in three games are impressive, he’s converting them into receptions just 53.5% of the time due to his quarterback’s inaccuracy.
This is one of the biggest discrepancies on the board between theCFFsite’s projections, which have Camper at eight catches against the Bearcats.
Pick: Cam Camper Over 4.5 Receptions
Navy vs. East Carolina
RB Keaton Mitchell Rushing Yards
This is another major discrepancy between the prop line and the CFFSite’s projections, which call for 124 yards for the explosive East Carolina running back.
Keaton Mitchell does split carries in the East Carolina backfield with Rahjai Harris, but what does that matter when he’s averaging over nine yards a carry on the season? And that is only a slight outlier after he averaged over 6.5 yards per attempt a year ago.
East Carolina’s opponent this week, Navy, ranks fourth in the country, allowing just 1.7 yards per carry through two games. But let’s consider the opposition — Delaware in Week 1 followed by a blowout loss to a Memphis team that ranks 90th nationally in rush yards per game as a team.
Assuming Mitchell gets his normal workload, he should blow this number out of the water.
Pick: Keaton Mitchell Over 78.5 Rushing Yards
UConn vs. NC State
RB Demie Sumo-Karngbaye Rushing Yards
Demie Sumo-Karngbaye is a candidate for the all-name team in college football this season.
But more than that, this is a favorable matchup for Sumo-Karngbaye against a Connecticut defense that’s allowing 171 yards per game on the ground.
NC State has also looked improved in 2022, averaging about 30 more yards per game as a team than it did a year ago. The sophomore running back has been a big reason why, as he’s averaging 5.8 yards per carry on 35 attempts.
But perhaps the biggest reason why we like this prop is that starter Jordan Houston is questionable after suffering an injury last week against Texas Tech. Houston could still play this week with head coaching Dave Doeren calling him day-to-day, but that’s a small risk worth taking considering we could get a full workload from Sumo-Karngbaye in a favorable matchup.