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The biggest storyline tonight is Josh Allen leading the NFL's No. 1 ranked offense against the league's No. 1 ranked defense, coached by Brian Flores. Quarterback Kyler Murray is out with a hamstring strain, which puts Carson Wentz into the starting role for Minnesota. Bills vs. Vikings odds have Buffalo as the road favorite in this NFL matchup.
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Bills vs. Vikings Preview
Josh Allen entered this week as the NFL MVP betting favorite on bet365 Sportsbook. He faces Brian Flores, whose defense is one of the toughest for opposing quarterbacks..
Flores sends five or more rushers on 71% of Minnesota's defensive snaps, which has been the calling card for this squad in 2026. Carson Wentz makes his second start of the season against a Bills defense which entered tonight 21st in defensive DVOA.
Bills fans can see New York betting options on our New York sports betting guide. Vikings fans can check our Minnesota sports betting page.
| Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bills | -3.5 (+106) | -172 | Over 44.5 (-110) |
| Vikings | +3.5 (-126) | +146 | Under 44.5 (-110) |
Bills vs. Vikings Prediction: Under 44.5 Points
My Bills vs. Vikings pick is under 44.5 total points (-110), and my reasoning is due to the Vikings' ability to generate pressure on Allen, along with Minnesota's season-long offensive struggles:
- Allen's passer rating against extra rushers is 88.2, 20th among 31 qualified quarterbacks.
- Minnesota allows just 13.3 points per game.
- Minnesota held Jordan Love, Caleb Williams, and Jared Goff to an average of 148 net passing yards.
- The Vikings rank 27th in scoring at 20.0 points per game.
Claim the bet365 bonus code offer to capitalize on $200 in bonus bets. Sign up, make your deposit, and place a $10 first bet on Bills vs. Vikings before the 8:15 p.m. ET kickoff on ABC and ESPN.
Kickoff is still hours away, but claim it now to get the registration flow out of the way. Bet on my Bills vs. Vikings prediction of under 44.5 total points (-110) due to Flores crowding Allen and Minnesota's offense struggling to score.
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