LAS VEGAS – The Westgate SuperBook has a monster on its hands. The explosion of sports gambling across the country has led to a record number of contestants putting up the $1,500 entry fee to be a part of the most pretigious NFL handicapping tournament in the country.
This year, the lucky person or persons who proves to be the most accurate picking NFL games against the spread will win over $1.3 million dollars. Not bad for 17 weeks of work, but it won’t be easy with nearly 3,000 entries into the contest.
Sports Action has entered three teams this year. You will see more content soon from Team Bet The Process and Team Sports Action, and you will be able to follow how I’m doing by tracking Team Gamenight. I’m not officially teaming up with anyone, but I have a lot friends who will be helping me this season.
— Dave Tuley (@ViewFromVegas) September 9, 2017
Yes, I named my SuperContest team after my radio show because, why not? I spoke on-air on Friday night about the amazing growth of this handicapping competition and just how excited I am that Sports Action is sponsoring my entry this season. Take a listen below.
One more announcement: Coming later tonight, the first edition of the Fade or Follow podcast will drop featuring myself and Vegas Matty breaking down the most picked games this week in the SuperContest. We will tell you if you should FOLLOW the contest and bet the games. Or, go the other way, and FADE the picks from the contestants. I think you will really like this weekly chat.
— Matt Perrault (@sportstalkmatt) September 9, 2017
Let’s get to my five picks for Week 1:
Atlanta -6.5 at Chicago (819 selections in the contest)
The Atlanta Falcons are coming off a choke job for the ages in the Super Bowl, but I really like the Falcons on the road at Chicago to start the year. Atlanta averaged over 34 points per game last year while Bears were under 20 at home. The Falcons are 8-1 ATS (numbers thanks to www.Oddsshark.com) in their last nine road games, too. Also consider that the Bears are 0-7 ATS in their last seven games in September, and I’m taking the Falcons.
Jacksonville at Houston -5 (863 selections)
This pick for me comes down to the quarterbacks. I don’t like Texans starting QB Tom Savage, but until Jags QB Blake Bortles proves he can stop making major mistakes with the football, you have to take Houston here. Clearly, I’m not alone, as this is the second-most picked winner. The Texans are also 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 games against AFC South opponents, and Houston has a six-game winning streak over Jacksonsville. Add in that the Jags have one win in their last 10 in games kicking off at 1 p.m. Eastern, and I’m on Houston.
Philadelphia at Washington +1 (not a top pick)
Here’s another divisional game in the first week of the season, and I love getting points at home in these kind of games. Washington is 6-0 ATS the last six times they have played the Eagles, and Philly is 1-6 ATS in their last seven on the road. The Redskins also have a five-game winning streak on Phily. I like Washington and a chance to win a game not picked heavily by the field.
New York Giants at Dallas -4 (Giants picked 581 times)
So I’m zigging (by taking Dallas) where the contest has zagged. New York is getting four points in a game where they are 4-0-1 ATS in their last five against Dallas. The Cowboys only averaged 13 PPG last year against New York, but the over has hit in seven of the last eight. With Zeke Elliott cleared to play and Odell Beckman Jr. nicked up, I don’t think the Giants can score enough on Sunday Night Football. The ‘Boys have won five of their last six at night as well.
LA Chargers +3 at Denver (667 selections)
There are a lot of numbers going against the Broncos in this one. Denver is 2-7 ATS on Monday Night Football and 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 home games against the Chargers. Los Angeles is also 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games on the road. However, Denver has a four-game winning streak at home against LAC. I think this game is extremely tight, but I picked Denver to miss the playoffs last year due to their QB issues. It’s still a problem. I’ll take the points.
So there is Week 1 for my picks in the SuperContest. The Fade or Follow podcast drops tonight. Look for more content on Sports Action’s chase for the million this NFL season here soon!