Bengals vs. Browns Odds & Pick: How To Bet Thursday Night Football


Getty Images. Pictured: Joe Burrow, Myles Garrett

Sep 17, 2020, 07:35 PM EDT

Bengals vs. Browns Odds

Bengals Odds
+6 [BET NOW]
Browns Odds
-6 [BET NOW]
43 [BET NOW]
8:20 p.m. ET on Thursday

Odds as of early Thursday morning and via DraftKings. Get up to a $1,000 sign-up bonus at DraftKings today or see more offers and reviews for the best online sportsbooks.

The Browns hired head coach Kevin Stefanski to help turnaround a team that went 6-10 last season despite having a playoff-caliber roster.

That didn’t get off to a great start in Week 1.

One of the expectations was that Stefanski would install the type of run-heavy offense he ran in Minnesota. Inheriting arguably the best running back duo in Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt would undoubtedly make things easier. And beefing up the offensive line by signing Jack Conklin — who earned Pro Football Focus’ sixth-best run blocking grade among tackles in 2019 — then drafting first-rounder Jedrick Wills would also help.

Bet $20, Win $125 if Giants Score
Full Review
1st bet = $20 on NYG
Win $125 in free bets if they score
New customers in IL, NJ & IN only

Leaning into a run-heavy approach would ultimately take some of the pressure off Baker Mayfield and limit his turnovers, too. The only issue was that the Baltimore Ravens are not the type of opponent this approach would work on (hence the blowout).

The Cincinnati Bengals, however, are that type.

You can expect the Browns to lean on Chubb and Hunt early on Thursday night, and to set up play-action passes between Baker and Odell Beckham Jr. Then once they build a lead, the Browns will be able to rely on their pass rush — led by Myles Garrett — to attack a weak Bengals offensive line and apply pressure on 2020 first overall pick Joe Burrow.

The Browns were able to generate pressure on Lamar Jackson at the fifth-highest rate (40%) in Week 1, which is terrible news for Burrow. He faced pressure on eight of his dropbacks in his NFL debut against the Chargers, going 0-3 on those attempts and taking three sacks. That said, Burrow was able to perform well when facing pressure in college, so I expect him to eventually be fine, it just may take a few games for him to adjust at this level.

I have this total projected at 43 points, so I don’t see any value on it. But while my Browns -6 projection also aligns with the market, there could be an opportunity to buy Cleveland if this line moves against Baker and Co. — action is split between both sides of this matchup as of writing (find real-time public betting data here), but if this line falls back down to -5.5, I’ll be on the Browns.

Bengals kicker Randy Bullock injured his calf as he missed the game-tying field goal in Week 1, but he’s set to play on Thursday night, and getting a number like 5.5 could be crucial in a game in which a kicker may be shaky.

Plus, as we covered, the Browns are built to win matchups just like this one.

Look to bet: Browns -5.5 [compare real-time odds]

[Bet $20, Win $150 If Burrow Gains 1+ Yard at PointsBet]

How would you rate this article?
Follow Sean Koerner on Twitter

Top Offers

Odds Boosts
See More >
Odds boosts are simply regular bets offered at enticing odds. They're available to everyone and there's no limit to how many you can bet.
Sportsbook Reviews
See More >
Discover the best online sports betting sites and take advantage of bonus offers from legal sportsbooks.
Expert Picks
See More >
See what plays the Action Network experts are making for all of today's games.
PRO Membership
See More >
Access betting systems and signals to get daily, actionable picks.
Download the App
See More >
Download the Action app to track all your bets in one place. Exclusive data helped you make smarter betting decisions.
See More >
The best sports betting newsletter with trends, insights and news - condensed in a two-minute read.
Live Odds
See More >
See live odds and the best lines for every game.

Follow Us On Social

Top Stories