The Washington Commanders (3-8) host the Denver Broncos (9-2) for the Week 13 Sunday Night Football game. Kickoff from Northwest Stadium in Landover, Md., is set for 8:20 p.m. ET. SNF will broadcast on NBC and Peacock.
The Broncos are 6-point favorites over the Commanders on the spread (Broncos -6; -115); the game total is 43 points. Denver is a -315 favorite to win outright on the moneyline; Washington is a +240 home underdog.
Below, you can find our Broncos vs Commanders picks for Sunday Night Football, which include predictions for the spread, game total and two player props.
Broncos vs Commanders Picks & Predictions
| Game | Time (ET) | Best Bet |
|---|---|---|
  | 8:20 p.m. | |
| 8:20 p.m. | |
| 8:20 p.m. | |
| 8:20 p.m. | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our NFL Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | ||
Sunday Night Football Odds
- Broncos vs Commanders Moneyline: Broncos -6 (-115), Commanders +6 (-105)
- Broncos vs Commanders Spread: Broncos -315, Commanders +240
- Broncos vs Commanders Total: 43
Broncos vs Commanders odds via bet365
Broncos vs Commanders Spread Prediction
Bettors are racing to lay the points with Broncos on Sunday night, as 70-78% of all bets thus far have been on the road favorite. Yet, this line opened right at 6 points and now it has moved to 5.5 in most places if you still want to make a wager at -110 or better.
I get it, we have a matchup that may be the league’s best defense versus the league’s worst. However, I still do not trust Bo Nix to be a consistently accurate passer for four quarters. Nix ranks 28th in the NFL out of passers in the percentage of throws deemed inaccurate at 13%. Furthermore, he has completed just 41% of his passes 10 or more yards downfield, per Sharp Football Analysis.
In the last five seasons, specifically in games played in November or later, underdogs with a losing record playing against a team with a winning percentage 75% or better are 44-30 against the number, covering at a 59.5% rate. When those teams are playing at home, that percentage increases to 63.9% against the spread with a record of 23-13.
Pick: Commanders +6 (-105); bet to +5
Broncos vs Commanders Over/Under Pick
By Billy Ward
The Broncos have shown that they can put up big scoring totals – but only if they have to.
Denver hasn’t lost since Week 3, but it also has just two wins of more than four points during that eight-game stretch. Not coincidentally, those wins came against the two worst defenses in the league (Dallas and Cincinnati).
While the Commanders certainly don't have an elite defense, they fall firmly in the “medium-bad” range, ranking 26th in DVOA. What that likely means is that Denver won’t be able to run up the score without taking some risks via Bo Nix deep passes – something the Broncos are reluctant to do unless the opponent pushes the score.
That’s unlikely to happen for a Washington team led by Marcus Mariota. The Commanders are averaging just 14 points per game in his last three starts, all of which came against lesser defenses than the Broncos.
That means even if Washington slightly exceeds that and gets to 17, the Broncos could win by two scores with the game staying under the total.
While I would’ve liked to catch this one before it dipped below 44, I’ll still take the under 43.5.
Pick: Under 43.5 (-115)
Broncos vs Commanders Player Props: RJ Harvey
RJ Harvey only saw 11 carries in the first game without J.K. Dobbins, but the usage was there.
The rookie had a 60.7% snap rate and handled 65% of the running back carries. Dobbins had a 51.1% snap rate and accounted for 73% of the running back carries through the first 10 games. Harvey more or less had the Dobbins role. Dobbins was averaging 15.3 carries per game before his injury.
Washington has seen the fourth-most running back carries per game. The Commanders have the sixth-highest opponent rushing play rate.
Denver is a solid favorite, so it should be able to lean on the ground game.
Pick: RJ Harvey Over 13.5 Rush Attempts (+105)
Broncos vs Commanders Player Props: Pat Bryant
By Chris Raybon
There's value on Broncos wide receiver Pat Bryant at a little over +400 tonight.
Bryant's seeing a big uptick in his usage lately even with Marvin Mims Jr. back in the fold; it's been more like a 2:1 split in favor of Bryant as of late.
Coming off the bye week, I think there could be another bump for the rookie because head coach Sean Payton likes to get his first-year players involved. You have to roll with the guys who are trending up.
In Bryant's last game against the Chiefs, he set season highs in receptions (five), targets (six) and yards (82).
Pick: Pat Bryant Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+500)
