Panthers-Bucs Betting Preview: Weather, Trends Point Toward Over/Under Play

Dec 02, 2018 12:00 AM EST

Jeremy Brevard, USA Today Sports. Pictured: Christian McCaffrey

Betting odds: Carolina Panthers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

  • Spread: Panthers -3
  • Over/Under: 54.5
  • Time: 1 p.m. ET
  • TV channel: FOX

>> All odds as of Friday morning. Download The Action Network App to get real-time NFL odds and track your bets

Betting market: One of several lopsided games this week, the Panthers were commanding 73% of bets as 3.5-point favorite at the time of writing.

They had been at -4 for a while, but that number attracted sharp action on the Bucs. The line had been pretty stable at 3.5 since then, before bumping down to 3 late Thursday/early Friday.

With nearly 80% of the cash on the under, this total has dropped from 56 to 54.5 (see live betting data here). —Mark Gallant

Weather report: Winds of about 12 mph blowing across the field may be the reason behind the cash flow on the under. Historically, divisional games with winds of at least 10 mph have gone under almost 60% of the time, per our Bet Labs data.

Along with Buffalo-Miami, this game will be a rare December 80-degree showdown. Assuming the forecasts hold up, these will be the 11th and 12th such games we have on record dating back to 2003. —Mark Gallant

Trends to know: Carolina lost last Sunday to Seattle. Late in the regular season (November-January), teams favored on the road following a loss have gone 133-108-8 against the spread (55%) since 2003.

In division games, these teams have been even more profitable going 55-36-3 (60%) ATS. — John Ewing