Cowboys vs. Giants Week 1 Odds, Prediction: Tiny Edge for Sunday Night Football

Cowboys vs. Giants Week 1 Odds, Prediction: Tiny Edge for Sunday Night Football article feature image

Kevin Sabitus/Getty Images. Pictured: Dak Prescott.

Cowboys vs. Giants Odds, Prediction

Cowboys Odds-2.5 (-115)
Giants Odds+2.5 (-105)
Odds according to FanDuel

The Cowboys face the Giants on Sunday Night Football for Week 1 of the 2023 NFL regular season.

Odds for that game have been released — and they're as close to equilibrium as you can get.

Our data team has considered all associated quantitative and qualitative aspects of every NFL regular season matchup for this upcoming season and developed a fair value spread for each contest.

We project the spread as Cowboys -2.5 (-110). Compare that to Cowboys -2.5 (-115) at FanDuel.

And on the moneyline, we have the exact price of Cowboys -142 on our models. The Giants should be +142, according to the equilibrium price.

So, for the spread and moneyline, this game is stayaway.

But there is a tiny, tiny edge on the total. Our models say the equilibrium line should be 46.6. The line as it stands — 45.5 — indicates a small 1.5% edge.

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We have projections on all Week 1 contests — including the biggest betting edge of the night on Bucs vs. Vikings.

For that contest, our odds differ substantially from the best market price — indicating big time positive expected value for you, the reader.

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