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Lions-Packers Betting Preview: Weather Will Play a Big Role at Lambeau Field

Dec 30, 2018 7:58 AM EST
Credit:

Jeff Hanisch-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Green Bay Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers (12).

Betting odds: Detroit Lions at Green Bay Packers

  • Spread: Packers -9
  • Over/Under: 44.5
  • Time: 1 p.m. ET
  • TV channel: FOX

>> All odds as of Friday morning. Download The Action Network App to get real-time NFL odds and track your bets


Betting market: The market is posting a slew of numbers for this game, ranging anywhere from Packers -7.5 to -9.

Green Bay is getting nearly 70% of bets and cash, and there has been a bit of sharp activity on each side (check out live data here). However, clearly not enough to push this line out of this insignificant range of more than -7 and less than -10. — Mark Gallant

Weather report: Green Bay is going to have some very Green Bay-ish late December weather. Temperatures will be a bit below freezing, but wind speeds should play more of a factor.

If the forecast of 17 mph winds holds up, it would be tied for the windiest NFL game of the year — which was the snowy game in Green Bay when the Cardinals booted Mike McCarthy out of town. — Gallant

Trends to know: Matthew Stafford has played in 11 games in his career where winds were gusting above 10 mph on average, and he is 2-9 against the spread, failing to cover the spread by 4.9 points per game.

In three of those 11 games, Stafford faced the Packers in Lambeau and he is 0-3 straight up and ATS. — Evan Abrams

As Mark noted, it’ll be cold at Lambeau Field with an average temperature of 26 degrees during the game. Many bettors think cold temperatures impact scoring but that’s not true.

Since 2003, in games played in 32 degree or colder temperatures the over has gone 142-121-5 (54%). If the game has a low over/under, like Packers-Lions, the over has performed even better. — John Ewing

Draft order: The Packers’ comeback win over the Jets last week proved costly, as they only have a small chance to get a top-10 draft pick now (Green Bay currently has the 14th selection).

Detroit sits at fifth overall entering Week 17, holding the strength-of-schedule tiebreaker over the other four teams bunched at 5-10. A loss would lock the Lions into a top-five pick. Scott T. Miller