Eagles vs. Cowboys Expert Picks: How We’re Betting Sunday Night Football

Eagles vs. Cowboys Expert Picks: How We’re Betting Sunday Night Football article feature image

Tim Heitman-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Ezekiel Elliott

  • Our experts reveal how they're betting Sunday Night Football featuring the Philadelphia Eagles at Dallas Cowboys.
  • That includes two spread picks as well as prop bets featuring Randall Cobb and Dallas Goedert.

Eagles at Cowboys Betting Odds

  • Odds: Cowboys -3
  • Over/Under: 50
  • Kickoff: 8:20 p.m. ET
  • TV Channel: NBC

Odds as of 2 p.m. ET on Sunday and via PointsBet, where Action Network users can access an exclusive promotion to get a 200% deposit match (deposit $50, bet with $150).

The Dallas Cowboys are 3-point home favorites on Sunday Night Football. But can Dak Prescott and Co. end their three-loss skid against the Philadelphia Eagles?

Our experts reveal how they’re betting this NFC East showdown with two picks on the spread and two prop bets.

Matthew Freedman: Eagles +3

The Cowboys have a head coach in Jason Garrett who consistently gets the least from his players. Under his gum-chewing, hand-clapping regime (since 2010), the Cowboys have routinely played down to the level of their opponents.

In the situations where Garrett’s Cowboys have had an edge, they have consistently underperformed.

At home, the Cowboys have allowed visiting teams to go 42-30-2 (13.9%) against the spread. As favorites, they have coughed up a record of 49-35-3 ATS (13.9% ROI) to underdog opponents.

And as home favorites, the Cowboys have allowed road dogs to go 34-19-1 ATS (25.8%). No coach in the league has been more profitable to bet against as a home favorite than Garrett.

I would know. I’m a Cowboys fan.

Mike Randle: Eagles +3

Even though the public will overreact to the Cowboys’ Week 6 loss — 63% of the tickets are on the Eagles as of writing (see live betting data here) — this is still too good for me to pass up.

Both starting tackles, La’el Collins (knee) and Tyron Smith (ankle), are both questionable as is wide receiver Amari Cooper (thigh).

The Cowboys offense was extremely limited without Cooper, sending a team-high seven targets to 37-year old tight end Jason Witten last week. While the Eagles secondary has been vulnerable, the Cowboys may not have the personnel to capitalize.

Amari Cooper
Tim Heitman-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Amari Cooper, Rasul Douglas

The Cowboys will also face the task or rushing against the Eagles’ fourth-ranked run defense DVOA (per Football Outsiders). The Eagles just held Dalvin Cook to 2.6 yards per carry at home.

The Cowboys need to right the ship after three consecutive losses, but the 3-point line is too much.

I would be this line down to Eagles -2.

Freedman: Randall Cobb Under 3.5 Receptions (-167)

The Eagles have allowed a league-worst 82-1,214-11 receiving stat line to opposing wide receivers, so the over has potential.

But Cobb (back) missed Week 6 due to injury, only got in a limited practice session on Friday and is listed as questionable. He’s tentatively expected to play, but he’s almost certainly nowhere near 100%.

So Cobb could see limited snaps, especially since the Cowboys have wide receiver Tavon Austin and even running back Tony Pollard available to play in the slot.

And Cobb is also at risk of aggravating his injury during the game.

On top of that, the Eagles have struggled in the secondary in large part because of injuries, and this week they are expecting the return of cornerbacks Ronald Darby (hamstring) and Jalen Mills (foot).

While Darby and Mills will play on the outside, former Cowboys corner Orlando Scandrick will start in the slot, where he’s earned a 69.1 coverage grade on limited action this year (per Pro Football Focus).

Although this matchup might look easy, it will probably be tougher than it seems.

In his five games with the Cowboys, Cobb has averaged 3.4 receptions per game. But given Cobb’s injury, the presence of Austin and the expected improvement of the Eagles secondary, it’s fair to project him for fewer receptions this week.

Our FantasyLabs Props Tool has Cobb projected for 2.8 receptions.

Randle: Dallas Goedert Over 20.5 Receiving Yards (-114)

With Philadelphia struggling to find consistent production among its wide receiver group, Goedert has seen his role gradually increase. His snap share has risen four consecutive weeks to 71.4% against Minnesota.

Against the Vikings, Goedert saw season-highs in targets (eight), receptions (five) and receiving yards (48).

Dallas has allowed the sixth-most receiving yards to opposing tight ends and the fifth-most receptions. With teammate Zach Ertz always drawing defensive attention, Goedert often has a favorable matchup he can exploit.

In a game with the third-highest over/under, look for Goedert to continue his efficiency and crest a relatively-low 20.5 receiving yard prop.

Our FantasyLabs projection of 25.3 yards is 19% above the implied total of 21.4.

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