Jaguars vs Saints Prediction, Pick, Odds for NFL Preseason (August 17)

Jaguars vs Saints Prediction, Pick, Odds for NFL Preseason (August 17) article feature image
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Corey Perrine/Florida Times-Union. Pictured: Trevor Lawrence and the Jaguars.

The Jacksonville Jaguars (0-1) and New Orleans Saints (0-1) will face off in NFL Preseason Week 2. Kickoff is set for 1:00 p.m. ET on Sunday, Aug. 17, from Caesars Superdome. The game will be broadcast live on NFL Network.

The Jaguars are favored by -3 with the game total set at 40.5 (-110o / -110u). The Jaguars are -160 favorites to win outright, while the Saints are +135 to pull off the upset.

Below, you can find my Jaguars vs Saints prediction and NFL pick for Sunday afternoon.

Liam Cohen and Kellen Moore bring new offensive systems into their new gigs, as both men will try to jumpstart franchises lacking recent success. Cohen has already announced the Jaguars’ starters will see action on Sunday, while Moore continues his quest to pick his starter at quarterback.

Given the stability at quarterback for Jacksonville in addition to their stout rush defense, the value lies with the short road favorite here.

Quickslip

Jaguars vs Saints Odds

Jaguars Logo
Sunday, Aug 17
1 p.m. ET
NFL Network
Saints Logo
Jaguars Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
-2.5
-115
40.5
-115o / -105u
-142
Saints Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
+2.5
-105
40.5
-115o / -105u
+120
Odds via DraftKings. Get up-to-the-minute NFL odds here.
DraftKings Logo
  • Jaguars vs Saints spread: Jaguars -2.5 (-115), Saints +2.5 (-105)
  • Jaguars vs Saints over/under: 40.5 (-115o / -105u)
  • Jaguars vs Saints moneyline: Jaguars -142, Saints +120
  • Jaguars vs Saints best bet: Jaguars 1st Half -1.5 (Fanduel)

MyJaguars vs. Saints best bet is on the Jaguars to cover the spread in the first half, with the best odds currently available at FanDuel. For all of your NFL bets, be sure to find the best lines by using our live NFL odds page.


Jaguars vs Saints NFL Preseason Week 2 Preview

Jacksonville will be without the services of No. 2 overall pick Travis Hunter, but that shouldn’t limit its ability to get off to a fast start in this game.

With Cohen’s early commitment to his starters, I expect a healthy dose of Trevor Lawrence, who we should see attempt more than the seven passes he threw a week ago. It bodes well that receivers Dyami Brown and Parker Washington have had impressive camps and should be on the field for the majority of the first half.

After Lawrence exits the game, the Jaguars have plenty to feel confident about with their quarterback depth. Granted, in a very small sample, all four signal-callers had a passer rating last week of 89.9 or greater.

Seth Henigan and Nick Mullens were efficient, while John Wolford saw the least amount of action but has familiarity with Cohen’s system since he was in camp with the Buccaneers during the 2024 preseason. All three QBs behind Lawrence completed a pass of 18+ yards as well, which shows their willingness to be aggressive when they get their chance.

For New Orleans, rookie Tyler Shough will get his opportunity to start against the Jaguars’ top defensive unit. Shough predominantly worked underneath and took what the defense gave him during his extended action last week. He was responsible for delivering one long touchdown throw, but also made a costly mistake by locking on to his first read and throwing a pick-six.

One concern I have for Shough is the lack of support he may get from his running game.

It’s very unlikely we see Alvin Kamara on Sunday; thus, it will be the same rushing attack that struggled against the Chargers in Week 1. Spencer Rattler led the team in rushing, with the longest carry from any of their running backs going for just eight yards. In total, Saints backs carried the ball 15 times for 29 yards.

The Steelers put up 31 points on the Jaguars’ defense a week ago, but they did so without the semblance of a running game. No matter who was on the field for the Jacksonville defense, it played with discipline in the running game with near-perfect run fits. Pittsburgh rushed the ball 25 times in the game’s entirety, averaging just 2.6 yards per carry.

After a frustrating scrimmage this week that saw Jacksonville struggle with self-inflicted mistakes and pre-snap issues, I am expecting a focused effort from Lawrence and company to begin the game. With Shough still adjusting to the speed of the NFL game, I like the chances of the Jaguars jumping out to an early lead. 

The coaching staff for New Orleans must give ample opportunity to Shough for the sake of evaluation, so I expect him to play the entire first half.

With Rattler entering in the second half and playing against the backups, while also looking to secure his status as the opening day starter, I worry he may actually have the ability to tighten the game late.

I am going to target the first half specifically by backing Jacksonville in the first thirty minutes.

My Pick: Jaguars 1st Half -1.5 (Fanduel)


Spread

Take the Jaguars to cover the first-half spread.

Moneyline

I have no play on the moneyline.

Over/Under

I have no play on the total.


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About the Author
John Lanfranca is a contributor at Action Network who specializes in NFL betting, with a focus on sides, totals, and player props. He has been betting since 2006 John has been involved with football since a young age and currently coaches at the high school level. He has cashed multiple five-figure entries in NFL DFS, which coincided with him entering the industry with Fantasysharks, where he contributed as a podcaster while also writing daily articles on betting, DFS, and the NFL Draft. John has shown a consistent ability to win when betting the NFL against the spread, regularly finishing seasons with a winning percentage in the 55-60% range

Follow John Lanfranca @JohnnyLFootball on Twitter/X.

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