Jaguars vs. Saints Most Valuable TNF Prop Bets: Derek Carr, Taysom Hill, Alvin Kamara
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Jaguars vs. Saints Odds
| Jaguars Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+2 -110 | 40.5 -110o / -110u | +110 |
| Saints Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-2 -110 | 40.5 -110o / -110u | -130 |
The Action Network's proprietary betting algorithms have selections for Jaguars vs. Saints on Thursday Night Football.
The betting models are targeting three important players on the Saints offense as tonight's best value adds: New Orleans quarterback Derek Carr, New Orleans gadget player Taysom Hill and New Orleans running back Alvin Kamara.
Despite facing the No. 9 defense in expected points added per play (EPA/play) and No. 8 defense according to defense adjusted value over average (DVOA), our betting models are bullish on the Saints offense tonight.
Our algorithms for Jaguars vs. Saints are developed by our predictive analytics team, which make empirical predictions on every game with value and have created popular benchmark statistics like the Luck Rankings.
We also have the public's favorite picks for this island game matchup.
- Derek Carr over 0.5 rushing yards (-120)
- Taysom Hill over 13.5 rushing yards (+100)
- Alvin Kamara over 49.5 rushing yards (-106)
Jaguars vs. Saints
Where's The Value?
The betting algorithms project Derek Carr to put up, on average, two rushing yards against this Jaguars defense if you were to simulate thousands of iterations of this exact matchup. At a vig of -120 at BetMGM, that indicates roughly 9% in betting edge.
Taysom Hill is projected at 16 yards on the ground, according to our betting models. The market best price of +100 at DraftKings means additional value on this particular prop.
And Alvin Kamara is projected to put up closer to 52 yards tonight, according to the algorithms. The best market vig of -106 is located at Caesars.
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