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Jets vs Dolphins Picks, Props, Odds, Predictions for Monday Night Football

Jets vs Dolphins Picks, Props, Odds, Predictions for Monday Night Football article feature image
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Imagn/Action Network. Pictured: Breece Hall, Garrett Wilson, Tyreek Hill, De’Von Achane.

The Miami Dolphins (0-3) host the New York Jets (0-3) in the first game of our Monday Night Football doubleheader on September 29. Kickoff from Hard Rock Stadium Stadium in South Florida is set for 7:15 p.m. ET. The game will broadcast live on ESPN.

The Dolphins are 2.5-point favorites over the Jets on the spread (Dolphins -2.5), with the game total set at 44.5. Miami is a -150 favorite to win outright on the moneyline and New York is +125 to pull of the upset.

Continue below for our Jets vs Dolphins picks for Monday Night Football, which include predictions for the spread, over/under, moneyline and two player props.

Playbook

Jets vs Dolphins Picks & Predictions

GameTime (ET)Best Bet
New York Jets LogoMiami Dolphins Logo
7:15 p.m.
New York Jets LogoMiami Dolphins Logo
7:15 p.m.
New York Jets LogoMiami Dolphins Logo
7:15 p.m.
New York Jets LogoMiami Dolphins Logo
7:15 p.m.
New York Jets LogoMiami Dolphins Logo
7:15 p.m.
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our NFL Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game.

Monday Night Football Odds

  • Jets vs Dolphins Moneyline: Jets +125, Dolphins -150
  • Jets vs Dolphins Total: 44.5
  • Jets vs Dolphins Spread: Jets +2.5 (+100), Dolphins -2.5 (-120)

Jets vs Dolphins odds via bet365

Jets vs Dolphins Against the Spread Prediction

Jets Logo
Monday, Sept. 29
7:15 p.m. ET
ESPN
Dolphins Logo
Dolphins -2.5 (-120)
bet365 Logo

By John Lanfranca

The Jets and Dolphins may both be winless, but I am more encouraged with the direction the Dolphins are trending.

Miami is averaging 24 points per game in its last two games and has established it can win the line of scrimmage when it possesses the football. The Dolphins averaged 5.2 yards per carry in Buffalo a week ago, which undoubtedly helped keep them in the game for four quarters.

The combination of De'Von Achane and Ollie Gordon allow their offense to have an explosive element while also having the ability to move the chains in short-yardage situations.

The Dolphins converted 10-of-15 third downs in Week 3, which gives me confidence they will be the team in this game that will be more consistent sustaining drives.

The Jets defense ranks last in the league in 20+ yard gains allowed through three weeks. They also rank 29th in pressure rate, which has allowed opposing passers to collectively boast a 107.6 passer rating against them.

Miami's defensive metrics may be even worse than New York’s in some areas but it’s worth noting the Dolphins have faced the top two teams in offensive DVOA and will be on extended rest heading into Monday night.

Justin Fields was just 3-of-11 passing before he exited due to injury in Week 2; I believe the Dolphins’ blitz-heavy scheme can keep him from regaining a rhythm.

Pick: Dolphins -2.5


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Jets vs Dolphins Moneyline Prediction

Jets Logo
Monday, Sept. 29
7:15 p.m. ET
ESPN
Dolphins Logo
Jets Moneyline (+130)
DraftKings Logo

By Erik Beimfohr

The Dolphins as favorites are an automatic fade for me.

The Jets get back the dynamic Justin Fields at quarterback for MNF, and they nearly took down the Bucs in Week 3 even with Tyrod Taylor at the helm.

The roster (and vibes!) with the Jets is simply a step up from the Dolphins, and the price is extremely juicy against the corpse of the Dolphins organization.

Pick: Jets Moneyline (+130)


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Jets vs Dolphins Over/Under Prediction

Jets Logo
Monday, Sept. 29
7:15 p.m. ET
ESPN
Dolphins Logo
Under 44.5 (-105)
Fanatics Logo

By Billy Ward

Jets-Dolphins is an interesting matchup. Neither team’s offense or defense ranks inside the top 20 in DVOA, so we have a pair of bad offenses taking on bad defenses.

If there’s a unit of those four I have any trust in improving, it’s the Jets defense. They have plenty of talent, and a new defensive-minded head coach in Aaron Glenn.

Running a new system is bound to have some growing pains, and it’s entirely possible that they grade out as one of the league’s better defenses a few months from now.

The Dolphins offense, on the other hand, seems close to imploding. Star wide receiver Tyreek Hill is missing practices for “personal reasons” with trade rumors swirling, and head coach Mike McDaniel could be unemployed by this time next week.

The Jets offense is getting Justin Fields back tonight, but I’m not ready to believe he’s revived his career. He ran for two scores in Week 1 when the Jets scored 32 points, but it’s hard to bank on that happening again – especially if they limit his rushing as he recovers from a concussion.

Plus, Fields was just 3-for-11 when he left the Week 2 contest with an injury, which is much closer to the player he was prior to this season. That makes it hard to believe either team can move the ball consistently.

I’m taking the under at 44.5, with the best line of -105 at Fanatics at the time of writing.

Pick: Under 44.5 (-105)


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Jets vs Dolphins Player Props

Jets Logo
Monday, Sept. 29
7:15 p.m. ET
ESPN
Dolphins Logo
Breece Hall Under 14.5 Rush Attempts (-106)
bet365 Logo

By Kyle Murray

Breece Hall is averaging just 12.7 attempts per game, and that is even with a 19-carry Week 1 inflating that number a bit.

Hall has combined for just 19 carries in the last two games as the Jets were not afraid to mix in Braelon Allen and Isaiah Davis behind him, and with the return of Justin Fields, that is another guy in the equation to take away carries from Hall.

Pick: Breece Hall Under 14.5 Rush Attempts (-106)


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Jets vs Dolphins Player Props

Jets Logo
Monday, Sept. 29
7:15 p.m. ET
ESPN
Dolphins Logo
Garrett Wilson Over 61.5 Receiving Yards (-118)
DraftKings Logo

By Kyle Murray

Garrett Wilson Wilson is having a pretty good start to his season.

He has essentially been the only real factor in this Jets' passing attack; he has accounted for at least 36% of the team's targets in each game this season.

As a result, he is averaging 73 yards per game, and he now draws an elite matchup against a Dolphins defense that is bottom three against the pass this season and has allowed the fifth-most yards per target.

Pick: Garrett Wilson Over 61.5 Receiving Yards (-118)


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