Cowboys vs Giants Odds, Spread Pick | NFL Week 10 Prediction
Getty Images. Pictured: Saquon Barkley (left) and Dak Prescott (right).
Cowboys vs Giants Odds, Spread Pick | NFL Week 10 Prediction
| Cowboys Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Over/Under | Moneyline |
-17.5 -110 | 39 -110o / -110u | -2000 |
| Giants Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Over/Under | Moneyline |
+17.5 -110 | 39 -110o / -110u | +1125 |
Cowboys vs Giants odds for NFL Week 10 spell doom for New York. Dallas enters this NFC East rivalry game as hefty 17.5-point favorites on the spread; the game total can be found at 38.5 or 39, depending on the book.
Needless to say, this in one of the biggest mismatches of the NFL season. The Cowboys blanked the Giants 40-0 all the way back in Week 1, and things have not gotten better for New York since. Notably, Daniel Jones (torn ACL) is done for the season and rookie Tommy DeVito is making the start at quarterback.
There is no need to overthink this one: The Cowboys should dominate for all 60 minutes and sweep the Giants for the 2023 NFL season.
Let's get into my Dallas-New York betting preview and Cowboys vs Giants spread pick.
Giants vs Cowboys Prediction
Toggle the dropdowns below to hide or show how the Giants and Cowboys match up statistically:
Giants vs. Cowboys DVOA Breakdown
 | Offense | Defense | Edge |
| Overall DVOA | 32 | 4 | |
| Pass DVOA | 32 | 6 | |
| Rush DVOA | 32 | 6 |
| Offense | Defense | Edge |
| Overall DVOA | 17 | 26 | |
| Pass DVOA | 15 | 20 | |
| Rush DVOA | 24 | 28 |
How bad have the Giants been on offense this season? Some things to consider:
- They average 4.1 yards per play, the worst mark in the NFL.
- They are the only team that has more possessions than points scored.
- They reach third down at the highest rate in the NFL, and they have seven or more yards to go on those third downs, also the highest rate, according to Sharp Football.
- They have scored 17-plus points only once, and that was in Week 2 against the Cardinals.
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Now they get the Cowboys, who have a 58% pass-rush win rate, tops in the NFL. Micah Parsons owns the league's top pass-rush win rate, and in Week 1 he was a major part of the Cowboys' shutout of the Giants. Daniel Jones took seven sacks and was pressured on 64% of his drop-backs.
Tommy Devito will get the start in this one. He will become the first rookie quarterback to start a game for the Giants in the modern draft era.
The Cowboys represent the absolute worst matchup possible for the undrafted rookie. Dallas has forced quarterback pressures on a league-high 47% of dropbacks. In a reserve role the last two weeks, Devito has been pressured 21 times and has taken eight sacks, while completing five passes for 44 yards on those 21 snaps.
Simply put, this is going to be a disaster for New York's pass protectors.
Bet New York vs. Dallas at FanDuel
We have seen major improvements from the Cowboys on offense over the last three games.
Mike McCarthy has started to move CeeDee Lamb around the formation, and in turn, the passing attack has averaged 9.0 yards per attempt. Dak Prescott is third in the league in completion percentage over expectation, and he leads in both completion percentage and yards per attempt on third downs.
The Giants defense has a 5.2% adjusted sack rate, 31st in the league. The Cowboys should continue to comfortably push the ball downfield without much resistance.
The Giants' starting cornerbacks this week will be Nick McCloud, a special teams player who has only played 66 snaps in coverage all season, and Deonte Banks, who grades out as the NFL's 109th-ranked corner out of 114 qualifying players at the position, per Pro Football Focus.
Betting on Prescott against the Giants over the course of his career has been extremely profitable. Against the NFC East, Prescott has covered the spread 69.4% of the time. He has also thrived at AT&T Stadium against weaker opponents, covering the spread at a 72% rate in his home building when Dallas is favored by more than six.
Giants vs. Cowboys
Betting Picks & Predictions
While a 40-0 result is unlikely to be repeated in this divisional rivalry, it would be quite surprising if the Giants, who gave up eight sacks to the Raiders last week, reached double-digit points on offense.
Limiting penalties and turnovers is the only path in which the Giants can keep this game close. That is extremely difficult to do when your quarterback is under constant duress.
The Cowboys are playing too well on offense to predict a flat performance, so Devito will likely be playing in catch-up mode in the second half. This could lead to turnovers and short fields in a game I expect the Cowboys to roll as smoothly as you’ll see for a professional football game.
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