The New York Giants (2-4) and Denver Broncos (4-2) face off in NFL Week 7. Kickoff is set for 4:05 p.m. ET from Empower Field at Mile High in Denver, Colo. The game will broadcast live on CBS.
The Broncos are 7-point favorites over the Giants on the spread (Broncos -7), with the over/under set at 40.5 total points. Denver is a -360 favorite to win outright on the moneyline, while New York is +280 to pull off the upset.
Let's get into my Giants vs Broncos predictions for today's Week 7 game.
Giants vs Broncos Prediction
- Giants vs Broncos pick: Giants +7.5 (-110); bet to +7
My Broncos vs Giants best bet is on New York to cover the spread. Find the best odds by checking our live NFL odds page.
Giants vs Broncos Odds
| Giants Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+7 -110 | 40.5 -110o / -110u | +280 |
| Broncos Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-7 -110 | 40.5 -110o / -110u | -360 |
Giants vs Broncos NFL Week 7 Preview
I'm going to roll with the Giants +7 at Denver this week.
We're seeing a lot of money coming in on the Broncos in this spot, but this is a Denver' team with a great defense, super talented unit; their offense is talented as well, but everything just seems to be very erratic.
Bo Nix doesn't make any of the typical backbreaking quarterback mistakes. He doesn't have a super high turnover or sack rate or anything like that. But the Broncos’ offense is not smooth at all.
If you look at early down success, filtering out garbage time and turnovers, the Broncos are one of the worst teams in the league on offense, and their passing game is worse than the Giants.' That's including the Russell Wilson weeks as well.
I think this Broncos' offense is very mediocre, and we saw that against the Jets, where the Broncos held them to -10 passing yards and Denver won by just two points.
Now, they're coming off what is essentially a road win after an international trip, coming back home to where they have a good home field advantage. However, the Giants have extended rest in this spot, and they're feeling confident coming off a 34-17 win over the Eagles.
Naturally, the market is still going to be down on them for losing to the Saints and giving Spencer Rattler his first career win, but with hindsight, now that we have more data, the loss to New Orleans doesn't look quite as bad.
It's still not ideal, but it doesn't look quite as terrible, given the Saints are starting to trend upward and look more like a mediocre team instead of a sky-is-falling horrible team.
The Giants beat the Chargers and Eagles, and they lost to the Saints. So, the Broncos laying seven points here is absurd to me, when they beat the Jets by just two points on a neutral field despite holding Justin Fields to -10 passing yards last week.
Even with the Broncos being back at home, I think this is a better spot for the Giants.
There's still only three weeks of tape out on Jaxson Dart, and the Giants have been doing some weird things on offense during that span, and they've had a while to prepare and figure out how to navigate Malik Nabers' absence a little better.
With Darius Slayton listed as questionable, Wan’Dale Robinson is likely going to be the Giants' top receiver in this matchup, and he won't see as much of Patrick Surtain as most teams’ top receivers would, because Wan’Dale frequently plays out of the slot.
I think another thing that's important for the Giants is their pass rush, which should be better than it's been in recent weeks. While on the other side, everyone's going to be worried about this Giants' offense with the rookie quarterback in his fourth start on the road in Denver against a tough Broncos' defense.
However, the Giants’ offensive line has looked a lot better over these past few games following the return of Andrew Thomas. And that tends to be the case for them every year, but now they are getting contributions across the board a little bit more consistently.
Giants vs Broncos Prediction, Betting Analysis
I simply don't think the Giants should be 7-point underdogs against such a shaky Denver' offense.
I like the Broncos generally as a team, but I have to go where the money takes me. When I model it out, I just can't get to the number that Denver is listed at in the betting market this week.
The way I see it, this is Giants-or-nothing, and it's a decent situational spot.
My main concern is the fact that the Broncos' defense has been really good against mobile quarterbacks this season. They rarely allow QBs to run wild against them because they have so much speed across the board, but you can run on them a bit with power runs, and the Giants should be able to exploit that.
The Broncos are favored by seven points in this game. That's the same line the Titans closed at with a rookie quarterback making his first ever start on the road in Week 1.
The Giants are so much more competent than the Titans — give me New York +7 this week.
Pick: Giants +7.5 (-110); bet to +7
Spread
My Broncos vs Giants betting prediction is on New York to cover the spread at +7.
Moneyline
While I am taking the Giants +7 in this spot, I'm not interested in the moneyline market.
Over/Under
I'm also staying away from the total in this matchup.
