How All 32 NFL Teams Performed Against the Spread in 2018

Jan 23, 2019 12:21 PM EST
Credit:

USA Today Sports. Pictured: Julio Jones, Baker Mayfield, Matt Nagy

  • Below is every NFL team's against the spread record for 2018, including the Browns as one of the most profitable teams.
  • The Falcons and 49ers were the least profitable teams ATS, while the Bears finished with the best ATS record.

Who were the most and least profitable NFL teams against the spread in 2018?

We run through all 32 teams’ regular-season ATS records — overall, at home and on the road — with brief highlights from each of their seasons.

Note: Straight-up records listed in parenthesis.

Jump to: AFC East | North | South | West
NFC East | North | South | West

2018 NFL Against the Spread Records

AFC EAST

Buffalo Bills (6-10)

  • Overall ATS record: 7-9
  • At home: 3-5
  • On the road: 4-4

The Bills pulled off the biggest NFL upset since 1995 with their 27-6 win over the Vikings as 16.5-point underdogs in Week 3.

They covered another double-digit spread (+13.5) in a 24-12 loss to the Patriots in Week 16 — in back door fashion, of course.

Miami Dolphins (7-9)

  • Overall ATS record: 8-8
  • At home: 6-2
  • On the road: 2-6

The highlight of the Dolphins’ season was a 34-33 win over the Patriots as 9.5-point dogs in Week 14 thanks to a miracle 69-yard touchdown from Kenyan Drake.

Credit: Jasen Vinlove-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Kenyan Drake

New England Patriots (11-5)

  • Overall ATS record: 9-7
  • At home: 6-2
  • On the road: 3-5

The Patriots struggled on the road this season overall. They went undefeated in eight home games, but 3-5 straight-up and ATS when away from Foxborough.

As Evan Abrams has detailed, this is the first season in which the Patriots have reached the Super Bowl with a regular-season road record worse than .500 — of course, they did cover and win in Kansas City to punch their tickets to the ninth Super Bowl in the Tom Brady-Bill Belichick era.

New York Jets (4-12)

  • Overall ATS record: 5-10-1
  • At home: 2-5-1
  • On the road: 3-5

One look at their SU and ATS records is all you really need to know here.

AFC NORTH

Baltimore Ravens (10-6)

  • Overall ATS record: 8-8
  • At home: 3-5
  • On the road: 5-3

The Ravens went 6-1 SU and 4-3 ATS in Lamar Jackson’s seven regular-season starts. They covered as road underdogs against two eventual playoff teams — at Chiefs (+6.5) and at Chargers (+4) — beating Los Angeles outright in Week 16.

Cleveland Browns (7-8-1)

  • Overall ATS record: 10-6
  • At home: 5-3
  • On the road: 5-3

Turns out when you win only one regular-season game in 32 tries, sportsbooks don’t believe in you much.

The Browns and the Saints were the second-most profitable teams ATS overall. Baker Mayfield and Co. finished out the season 5-3 SU and ATS following Hue Jackson’s firing.

Cincinnati Bengals (6-10)

  • Overall ATS record: 9-7
  • At home: 3-5
  • On the road: 6-2

The Bengals were listed as a double-digit underdogs three times: At Chargers (+16.5), at Browns (+10) and at Steelers (+14). They covered all three games.

Pittsburgh Steelers (9-6-1)

  • Overall ATS record: 8-7-1
  • At home: 4-4
  • On the road: 4-3-1

There were lots of things pointing to a weird season in Pittsburgh.

The season-long contract dispute with Le’Veon Bell. The season-opening tie against the Browns — who, at that point, were still the one-win-in-two-seasons Browns. Antonio Brown falling off an efficiency cliff and, eventually, into his own kind of dispute with the team.

Credit: Philip G. Pavely-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Ben Roethlisberger

The Steelers followed up a midseason six-game SU win streak (5-0-1 ATS) with a three-game SU and ATS losing streak in late November/early December, lost control of the AFC North and missed the playoffs for the first time since 2013.

AFC SOUTH

Houston Texans (11-5)

  • Overall ATS record: 7-6-3
  • At home: 4-3-1
  • On the road: 3-3-2

The Texans went 6-2-1 ATS over their nine-game SU win streak. They also had three spreads push, the most of any team this season.

Indianapolis Colts (10-6)

  • Overall ATS record: 8-7-1
  • At home: 3-4-1
  • On the road: 5-3

The Colts won nine of their 10 final regular-season games, covering the spread in six of them.

Jacksonville Jaguars (5-11)

  • Overall ATS record: 5-9-2
  • At home: 3-4-1
  • On the road: 2-5-1

October and November were not good months in Jacksonville. They Jags went 0-5-2 ATS in the seven outright losses over that span.

Tennessee Titans (9-7)

  • Overall ATS record: 8-8
  • At home: 4-4
  • On the road: 4-4

Of the three teams that went 8-8 ATS, Tennessee was the only one to also finish even at home and on the road.

AFC WEST

Denver Broncos (6-10)

  • Overall ATS record: 6-9-1
  • At home: 2-5-1
  • On the road: 4-4

The Broncos went 2-5-1 ATS as a favorite, outright winning only four games they were favored in.

Kansas City Chiefs (12-4)

  • Overall ATS record: 9-6-1
  • At home: 4-4
  • On the road: 5-2-1

The Chiefs opened the season 5-0 SU, covering the spread in all five games.

Denny Medley-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Patrick Mahomes, Philip Rivers

Los Angeles Chargers (12-4)

  • Overall ATS record: 9-7
  • At home: 2-6
  • On the road: 7-1

The Chargers were the second-least profitable team ATS at home, but — along with the Giants — finished as one of the two most profitable teams ATS on the road.

Oakland Raiders (4-12)

  • Overall ATS record: 6-10
  • At home: 4-4
  • On the road: 2-6

The Raiders were listed as underdogs in three of their four wins: At Cardinals (+4.5), vs. Steelers (+10) and vs. Broncos (+2.5).

NFC EAST

Dallas Cowboys (10-6)

  • Overall ATS record: 8-6-2
  • At home: 5-2-1
  • On the road: 3-4-1

It was not particularly profitable to back America’s Team in the first half of the season. The Cowboys went 2-5-1 ATS over their first eight games, then 6-1-1 over the second half.

New York Giants (5-11)

  • Overall ATS record: 8-7-1
  • At home: 1-6-1
  • On the road: 7-1

The Giants were the least profitable team to back ATS at home, covering only once in eight games: A 30-27 overtime win over the Bears as 3.5-point underdogs in Week 13.

Ironically, they and the Chargers finished as the most profitable teams ATS on the road.

Philadelphia Eagles (9-7)

  • Overall ATS record: 6-9-1
  • At home: 2-5-1
  • On the road: 4-4

The Eagles became the first reigning Super Bowl champion in the past 35 years to be listed as an underdog of a touchdown or more multiple times in one season when they closed as 13.5-point road dogs against the Rams in Week 15.

Credit: Kelvin Kuo-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Nick Foles

The Eagles beat the Rams, 30-23, on Sunday Night Football for their biggest upset since 1985.

Washington Redskins (7-9)

  • Overall ATS record: 9-7
  • At home: 4-4
  • On the road: 5-3

The Redskins went 6-4 SU and 7-3 ATS in Alex Smith’s 10 starts (including when he was injured against the Texans in Week 11), then 1-5 SU and 2-4 ATS the rest of the season.


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NFC NORTH

Chicago Bears (12-4)

  • Overall ATS record: 12-4
  • At home: 7-1
  • On the road: 5-3

The Bears were the most profitable team ATS overall and at home, failing to cover only once at Soldier Field: As 1.5-point underdogs in a 38-31 loss to the Patriots in Week 7.

Detroit Lions (6-10)

  • Overall ATS record: 9-7
  • At home: 3-5
  • On the road: 6-2

The Lions were among the most profitable teams ATS on the road, joining the the Saints and Bengals at 6-2 behind the Chargers and Giants at 7-1.

Detroit’s most impressive showing away from home came in a 26-10 win over Matt Patricia’s old team, the Patriots, as touchdown underdogs in Foxborough in Week 3.

Green Bay Packers (6-9)

  • Overall ATS record: 6-9-1
  • At home: 4-4
  • On the road: 2-5-1

Aaron Rodgers and the Packers were seemingly overvalued at Lambeau, going 5-2-1 SU but 2-5-1 ATS at home.

Credit: Jeff Hanisch-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Chandler Jones rushing Aaron Rodgers

They suffered their biggest upset of the past 40 years when they lost to the Cardinals, 20-17, as 13.5-point favorites.

Minnesota Vikings (8-7-1)

  • Overall ATS record: 8-7-1
  • At home: 5-3
  • On the road: 3-4-1

The Vikings were on the wrong end of the biggest NFL upset since 1995 when they lost to the Bills as 16.5-point underdogs in Week 3.

NFC SOUTH

Atlanta Falcons

  • Overall ATS record: 5-11
  • At home: 3-5
  • On the road: 2-6

The Falcons (along with the 49ers) were among the two least profitable teams ATS this season. Atlanta also finished among four others as the least profitable teams on the road.

Carolina Panthers (7-9)

  • Overall ATS record: 7-9
  • At home: 5-3
  • On the road: 2-6

The Panthers joined the Falcons and three others as the least profitable teams on the road, losing outright as road favorites four times.

New Orleans Saints (13-3)

  • Overall ATS record: 10-6
  • At home: 4-4
  • On the road: 6-2

The Saints joined the Browns as the second-most profitable teams ATS overall. New Orleans also joined Cincinnati and Detroit as the second-most profitable teams ATS on the road.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (5-11)

  • Overall ATS record: 7-7-2
  • At home: 4-4
  • On the road: 3-3-2

The Ryan Fitzpatrick-quarterbacked Bucs upset the Saints, 48-40, as 10-point underdogs in the Superdome to open the regular season.

Credit: Derick E. Hingle-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Ryan Fitzpatrick celebrating after scoring against the Saints in Week 1

Nothing much else notable happened after the FitzMagic ran out.

NFC WEST

Arizona Cardinals (3-13)

  • Overall ATS record: 7-9
  • At home: 3-5
  • On the road: 4-4

The Cardinals were listed as double-digit underdogs in six games this season. They covered the spread in three of them and outright beat the Packers as 13.5-point pooches in Green Bay’s biggest upset in at least 40 years.

Los Angeles Rams (13-3)

  • Overall ATS record: 7-7-2
  • At home: 3-3-2
  • On the road: 4-4

Unlike the Saints — who matched L.A.’s league-best SU record — the Rams struggled ATS, failing to cover as favorites of at least a touchdown in five games despite outright winning four of them.

San Francisco 49ers (4-12)

  • Overall ATS record: 5-11
  • At home: 3-5
  • On the road: 2-6

The 49ers joined the Falcons as the least profitable teams ATS this season. San Francisco also finished among four others as the least profitable teams on the road.

Seattle Seahawks (10-6)

  • Overall ATS record: 9-5-2
  • At home: 5-2-1
  • On the road: 4-3-1

The Seahawks joined the Cowboys as the third-most profitable teams ATS at home.

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