NFL Comeback Player of the Year Odds at Kalshi: Christian McCaffrey Predictions

William Boor

Senior Editor

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Updated:

Feb 05, 2026, 05:43 PM EST

Updated:

Feb 05, 2026, 05:43 PM EST

NFL Comeback Player of the Year Odds at Kalshi: Christian McCaffrey Predictions article feature image

3 min read

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Feb 4, 2026; San Francisco, CA, USA; San Francisco 49ers running back Christian McCaffrey on the NFL Network set at the Super Bowl LX media center at the Moscone Center. Mandatory Credit: Kirby Lee-Imagn Images

The NFL Comeback Player of the Year (CPOY) award is one of the league's most poignant honors, designed to recognize a player who has overcome significant adversity—typically a major injury or illness—to return to an elite level of play. It’s an award that celebrates resilience as much as talent. Tonight, as the NFL Honors ceremony kicks off at 9 p.m. ET, one player (like McCaffrey) stands on the verge of completing a near-perfect redemption arc.

If you want to trade on the NFL Comeback Player of the Year for the 2025-2026 season, be sure to claim a $10 bonus with the Kalshi promo code:

Live NFL Comeback Player the Year Odds for 2025-26 Regular Season

Here are the live NFL Comeback Player of the Year odds at Kalshi:

The Frontrunner: Christian McCaffrey

San Francisco 49ers running back Christian McCaffrey is the overwhelming favorite to take home the hardware.After missing 13 games in 2024 due to calf and Achilles injuries, McCaffrey didn't just return; he dominated.He finished the 2025 season with 2,126 yards from scrimmage and 17 total touchdowns, becoming the first player in NFL history to record at least five rushing and five receiving scores in a single season.

The Field: Lawrence and Hutchinson

While the market suggests a blowout, two other finalists represent the "never say never" spirit of the award:

Trevor Lawrence: The Jaguars’ quarterback returned from a concussion-riddled 2024 to lead Jacksonville to an 8-4 record under center, proving his status as a franchise cornerstone remains intact.
Aidan Hutchinson: The Lions’ pass rusher made a miraculous return from a fractured tibia and fibula suffered in mid-2024. Finishing top-10 in the league in sacks after such a catastrophic injury has made him a sentimental favorite, even if his Kalshi odds remain long.

As we’ve seen in years past, the "new" CPOY criteria—which emphasizes injury over a simple "return to form"—favors a player like McCaffrey, who was sidelined almost entirely before reclaiming his status as the league's best dual-threat weapon.

Trading volume for the NFL Comeback Player of the Year market is just above $1.6 million leading up to the ceremony. Kalshi will verify the final outcome by consulting official NFL sources.

Where to Watch the NFL Honors Ceremony

If you want to watch the NFL Honors Ceremony and see your NFL Comeback Player of the Year odds predictions at Kalshi unfold, tune in at 9 p.m. ET or 6 p.m. PT. Streaming options include NBC, NFL Network, and Peacock.

And if you want to see the Kalshi odds for other rewards tonight, check out these articles for: Coach of the Year, Offensive Player of the Year, Defensive Player of the Year, Offensive Rookie of the Year, Defensive Rookie of the Year.

What is Kalshi?

Different than a traditional sportsbook and available in all 50 states, Kalshi allows users to make predictions across several unique markets, including sports, entertainment, elections and even weather.

Kalshi operates on a contract-based system where users buy "contracts" (priced between 1–99 cents) based on whether they believe a specific event will happen. The price of each contract fluctuates in real time based on market sentiment and like the stock market, traders can sell positions early to lock in profits (or minimize losses).

About the Author

William Boor is a Senior editor for the Action Network. He has worked in sports for over a decade since graduating from Arizona State's Cronkite School of Journalism. Before joining the Action Network, Boor worked at MLB.com.

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