Projections for Every NFL Team’s Odds to Make Playoffs, Win Division & Super Bowl

Projections for Every NFL Team’s Odds to Make Playoffs, Win Division & Super Bowl article feature image
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USA Today Sports. Pictured: Baker Mayfield

  • How did the Browns' odds of making the playoffs and winning the AFC North change after their win over the Ravens?
  • Our model tells you every team's odds to make the postseason, win their division and win the Super Bowl after Week 5.

We used our Bet Labs model — which simulates the rest of the season 10,000 times — to rank every team’s chances of making the playoffs.

We’ll dig into the full results below, but first, here are a few takeaways:

  • The Browns beat the Ravens, 40-25, to draw even in the AFC North. Cleveland now as a 46.26% chance to win the division and a 59.49% chance to make the playoffs.
  • Daniel Jones led the Giants to their second win. New York’s chances continue to improve, with now a 17.37% to make the postseason.
  • Jameis Winston’s standout performance in the Buccaneers’ shocking 55-40 road win over the Rams boosted Tampa Bay’s postseason odds to 21.67%.

Now for the 1-32 rankings. We’ll also highlight every team’s chances of winning the Super Bowl as well as their division.

Note: These simulation results are as of Monday morning.


2019 NFL Playoff Rankings

1. New England Patriots

  • Chance to make playoffs: 99.57%
  • Chance to win division: 97.54%
  • Chance to win Super Bowl: 31.59%

2. Kansas City Chiefs

  • Chance to make playoffs: 96.54%
  • Chance to win division: 86.39%
  • Chance to win Super Bowl: 13.31%

3. Los Angeles Rams

  • Chance to make playoffs: 69.79%
  • Chance to win division: 42.06%
  • Chance to win Super Bowl: 8.72%

4. New Orleans Saints

  • Chance to make playoffs: 67.87%
  • Chance to win division: 57.67%
  • Chance to win Super Bowl: 7.41%

5. Seattle Seahawks

  • Chance to make playoffs: 63.51%
  • Chance to win division: 34.60%
  • Chance to win Super Bowl: 5.56%

6. Dallas Cowboys

  • Chance to make playoffs: 60.65%
  • Chance to win division: 50.01%
  • Chance to win Super Bowl: 4.03%

7. Green Bay Packers

  • Chance to make playoffs: 59.73%
  • Chance to win division: 43.60%
  • Chance to win Super Bowl: 4.52%

8. Cleveland Browns

  • Chance to make playoffs: 59.49%
  • Chance to win division: 46.26%
  • Chance to win Super Bowl: 1.31%

9. Baltimore Ravens

  • Chance to make playoffs: 57.99%
  • Chance to win division: 41.93%
  • Chance to win Super Bowl: 2.00%

10. Chicago Bears

  • Chance to make playoffs: 57.80%
  • Chance to win division: 36.17%
  • Chance to win Super Bowl: 5.00%

11. Houston Texans

  • Chance to make playoffs: 57.69%
  • Chance to win division: 42.55%
  • Chance to win Super Bowl: 1.87%

12. Los Angeles Chargers

  • Chance to make playoffs: 52.52%
  • Chance to win division: 12.58%
  • Chance to win Super Bowl: 1.75%

13. Philadelphia Eagles

  • Chance to make playoffs: 52.30%
  • Chance to win division: 40.49%
  • Chance to win Super Bowl: 3.97%

14. Buffalo Bills

  • Chance to make playoffs: 47.84%
  • Chance to win division: 2.43%
  • Chance to win Super Bowl: 0.41%

15. San Francisco 49ers

  • Chance to make playoffs: 46.61%
  • Chance to win division: 23.18%
  • Chance to win Super Bowl: 3.09%

16. Indianapolis Colts

  • Chance to make playoffs: 38.72%
  • Chance to win division: 27.11%
  • Chance to win Super Bowl: 0.63%

17. Tennessee Titans

  • Chance to make playoffs: 35.73%
  • Chance to win division: 19.48%
  • Chance to win Super Bowl: 0.66%

18. Carolina Panthers

  • Chance to make playoffs: 30.40%
  • Chance to win division: 20.45%
  • Chance to win Super Bowl: 1.39%

19. Tampa Bay Buccaneers

  • Chance to make playoffs: 21.67%
  • Chance to win division: 15.49%
  • Chance to win Super Bowl: 0.77%

20. Detroit Lions

  • Chance to make playoffs: 21.64%
  • Chance to win division: 11.41%
  • Chance to win Super Bowl: 0.43%

21. Jacksonville Jaguars

  • Chance to make playoffs: 20.54%
  • Chance to win division: 10.86%
  • Chance to win Super Bowl: 0.13%

22. Minnesota Vikings

  • Chance to make playoffs: 20.45%
  • Chance to win division: 8.82%
  • Chance to win Super Bowl: 0.81%

23. New York Giants

  • Chance to make playoffs: 17.37%
  • Chance to win division: 9.30%
  • Chance to win Super Bowl: 0.34%

24. Pittsburgh Steelers

  • Chance to make playoffs: 11.69%
  • Chance to win division: 6.86%
  • Chance to win Super Bowl: 0.08%

25. Oakland Raiders

  • Chance to make playoffs: 9.39%
  • Chance to win division: 0.76%
  • Chance to win Super Bowl: 0.08%

26. Atlanta Falcons

  • Chance to make playoffs: 9.32%
  • Chance to win division: 6.39%
  • Chance to win Super Bowl: 0.32%

27. Cincinnati Bengals

  • Chance to make playoffs: 7.69%
  • Chance to win division: 4.95%
  • Chance to win Super Bowl: 0.07%

28. New York Jets

  • Chance to make playoffs: 2.70%
  • Chance to win division: 0.03%
  • Chance to win Super Bowl: 0.01%

29. Denver Broncos

  • Chance to make playoffs: 1.90%
  • Chance to win division: 0.27%
  • Chance to win Super Bowl: 0.03%

30. Arizona Cardinals

  • Chance to make playoffs: 0.50%
  • Chance to win division: 0.16%
  • Chance to win Super Bowl: 0.01%

31. Washington Redskins

  • Chance to make playoffs: 0.39%
  • Chance to win division: 0.20%
  • Chance to win Super Bowl: 0.01%

32. Miami Dolphins

  • Chance to make playoffs: 0.00%
  • Chance to win division: 0.00%
  • Chance to win Super Bowl: 0.01%

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