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NFL Week 3 Sharp Report: Pros Betting 49ers-Chiefs, Two Other Games

Sep 23, 2018 11:30 AM EDT
  • Wiseguys are betting three NFL games on Sunday, headlined by San Francisco 49ers-Kansas City Chiefs (1 p.m. ET), with KC listed as a -6.5 favorite with an over/under of 55
  • Sharps are also getting down on Green Bay Packers-Washington Redskins (1 p.m. ET) and Chicago Bears-Arizona Cardinals (4:25 p.m. ET)

In gambling circles, sharps (or wiseguys) are professional bettors who bet large amounts on games and have a long track record of success.

They don’t bet based on bias or gut instinct. Instead, they are 100% analytical and value-driven. Wiseguys bet numbers, not players and teams. When they get down hard on games, they force oddsmakers to move the lines.

After analyzing Sunday’s 14-game slate using Sports Insights’ Sportsbook Insider Pro betting tools, I’ve pinpointed three NFL bets that sharps are focusing on, starting at 1 p.m. and 4:25 p.m. ET.


>> All data as of 4:15 p.m. ET. on Saturday, Sept. 22. Download The Action Network App or check out our NFL live odds page to get real-time data and track your bets.


Betting Terms to Know

Steam Move: Sudden, drastic and uniform line movement across the market caused by an overload of sharp action from respected players.

Reverse Line Movement: When the betting line moves in the opposite direction of the betting percentages. It’s a top smart money indicator.

Line Freeze: When one side is getting heavy betting, but the line won’t budge, indicating sharp liability on the other side.

Juice: The tax or commission that bettors must pay sportsbooks in order for them to accept your wager. A -115 juice means a bettor would have to wager $115 to win $100.

Full Sports Betting Glossary

Let’s get to the games!

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Credit:

Charles LeClaire-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Patrick Mahomes

Follow Josh Appelbaum on Twitter
@Josh_Insights

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