Patriots vs Broncos Player Props: Javonte Williams, Marvin Mims, Mike Gesicki
Photo by Justin Edmonds/Getty Images. Pictured: Javonte Williams.
Patriots vs Broncos Player Props
In the table below, you'll find each of Sam Farley's Patriots vs Broncos player props for NFL Sunday Night Football. Click on any pick or team logo to navigate to a specific SNF prop bet.
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Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our NFL Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | |
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Patriots vs. Broncos
The Patriots have been terrible this season, but one area in which they have excelled is defending against the run. New England has given up just 84.9 yards per game on the ground, second only to the Bears.
That’s going to be an issue for Javonte Williams, who hasn’t been at his best all season and has yet to hit 100-plus rushing yards in a single game. His line is at 54.5 yards here, and we have to take the under given that he’s hit the over just twice in the last five weeks.
Last week also saw Samaje Perine have success on the ground, rushing for more yards than Williams despite having half of his 12 carries. Jaleel McLaughlin might also take a handful of carries.
Pick: Javonte Williams Under 54.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
Patriots vs. Broncos
The old cliché about facing the Patriots is that Bill Belichick will take away your best player in the passing game. Whether that cliche holds true in 2023 doesn’t matter, as we'll take the over 1.5 receptions for Marvin Mims.
The rookie might have just 298 receiving yards and a single touchdown on the season, but he’s been targeted at least twice in each of the last five games and does offer something different to Courtland Sutton and Jerry Jeudy.
If we do see Sutton locked down, then it only further increases the chances of this cashing.
Pick: Marvin Mims Marvin Mims Over 1.5 Receptions (-105)
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Patriots vs. Broncos
Editor's Note: Hunter Henry was ruled out with a knee injury.
Hunter Henry is listed as questionable, but he did practice even if he was limited. If he gets on the field, then +450 looks like serious value. Those odds imply an 18.2% chance of him scoring, yet this is a player who has scored a team-leading six touchdowns for the Patriots.
Henry has found the end zone three times in the last two games and is coming off a game in which he earned nine targets. He now faces a Broncos defense that has allowed a league-high nine touchdowns in 14 games to tight ends.
Given how integral Henry is to the Pats offense, it’s wild that he’s +450 to score.
Pick: Hunter Henry Anytime Touchdown (+450)
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Patriots vs. Broncos
Odds of +1100 are too attractive for me not to suggest putting a little sprinkle on Mike Gesicki. He's scored just once this year, but don’t forget this is a player who scored six times last year and is a solid pass-catcher.
Gesicki's usage has been limited, but he's had at least two targets in every game going back to Week 3.
If Henry isn’t good to go, then Gesicki is likely to take a large chunk of his workload. However, even if we do see Henry, then I’m still happy to back Gesicki at +1100 given how poor the Broncos have defended tight ends this season.
Pick: Mike Gesicki Anytime Touchdown (+1100)
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