Eagles vs Seahawks Odds, Pick: Monday Night Football Prediction

Eagles vs Seahawks Odds, Pick: Monday Night Football Prediction article feature image

Action Network Design Team. Pictured: Jalen Hurts (left) and DK Metcalf (right).

Eagles vs Seahawks Odds, Pick: Monday Night Football Prediction

Monday Night Football Preview

Monday, Dec. 18
8:15 p.m. ET
Philadelphia Eagles Odds
Point SpreadOver/UnderMoneyline
-110o / -110u
Seattle Seahawks Odds
Point SpreadOver/UnderMoneyline
-110o / -110u
Odds via bet365. Get up-to-the-minute NFL odds here.

The latest Eagles vs Seahawks odds have the Eagles installed as 4-point favorites on the spread with an over/under of 45 total points. My NFL pick for Monday Night Football, pending Jalen Hurts' status for the game, is on the over/under.

This NFL Week 15 edition of MNF features teams on losing streaks as the Eagles have dropped two straight and the Seahawks four straight.

There were several unknowns for both teams entering Monday. For the Eagles, Hurts was downgraded to questionable on Sunday with an illness. However, multiple reports on Monday indicate that Hurts will be active and start at quarterback. As for the Seahawks, Geno Smith was active but Drew Lock got the start. Smith missed Seattle's last game against the 49ers with a groin injury.

How will this matchup between desperate teams play out? Find out in my Monday Night Football betting preview, which includes my Eagles vs Seahawks prediction.

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Eagles vs Seahawks Prediction

Pick: Under 45 · Play to 42 if Jalen Hurts Out

Eagles vs. Seahawks Preview

Toggle the dropdowns below to hide or show how the Eagles and Seahawks match up statistically:

Eagles vs. Seahawks DVOA Breakdown
Overall DVOA724
Pass DVOA826
Rush DVOA620
Overall DVOA1222
Pass DVOA1124
Rush DVOA1912

Both starting quarterbacks are listed as questionable: Geno Smith with a groin injury and Jalen Hurts with an illness.

The Seahawks' backup is Drew Lock, who completed 22-of-31 passes for 260 yards with two touchdowns and two interceptions against the 49ers last week. Smith has regressed in pretty much every major passing category from last season, so the downgrade from Smith to Lock is no more than 0.5-1 points.

Regardless of who is at quarterback for Seattle, he will face a reeling Eagles defense that has slipped to 23rd in DVOA against the pass. The Eagles' biggest issue has been a failure to get off the field on third down; their 48.1% third-down conversion rate allowed is last in the NFL.

Life for the Eagles defense will only get more difficult without top corner Darius Slay, who underwent arthroscopic knee surgery. Slay's 68.4 PFF grade ranked 41st among 118 qualified corners and is easily the best on the team.

There will be a new wrinkle for the Eagles defense, however, as Matt Patricia will take over defensive play-calling for coordinator Sean Desai. It's unclear what exactly this will mean, but Patricia did come up under Bill Belichick, so perhaps he sells out to take away DK Metcalf. Belichick's defenses are known to try and take away the opponent's No. 1 option.

Bet Philadelphia vs. Seattle at FanDuel

Hurts was downgraded late in the week due to an illness, but it's hard to see him missing this game with the Eagles on a two-game skid.

If Hurts can't go, the Eagles would roll with Marcus Mariota, who completed 184-of-300 passes for 2,219 yards, 15 touchdowns and nine interceptions in 13 starts with the Falcons last season, adding 438 yards and four touchdowns on the ground. Mariota would be a 2-3 point downgrade from Hurts on the spread.

The Seahawks have been average against the run but poor against the pass, ranking bottom six in DVOA, so Hurts' potential absence looms large as it's difficult to envision the Eagles installing anything but an extremely run-heavy game plan if forced to start Mariota.

Eagles vs. Seahawks Prediction & Pick

There are an inordinate amount of unknowns in this game, including the health of both quarterbacks and the impact of Patricia taking over defensive play-calling for the Eagles.

If Hurts is out, we could see the primetime under trend continue (primetime unders are hitting at a 64% clip this season and a 65% clip since the start of last season, according to our Action Labs data) as the Eagles will likely try to shorten the game.

Pick: Under 45 · Play to 42 if Hurts Out | No Bet if Hurts Plays
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