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Steelers-Saints Betting Preview: Will Pittsburgh Pull Off Another Upset?

Dec 23, 2018 2:50 PM EST
Credit:

USA Today Sports. Pictured: Ben Roethlisberger, Drew Brees

Betting odds: Pittsburgh Steelers at New Orleans Saints

  • Spread: Saints -6
  • Over/Under: 53
  • Time: 4:25 p.m. ET
  • TV channel: CBS

>> All odds as of Friday afternoon. Download The Action Network App to get real-time NFL odds and track your bets


Betting market: Fifty-eight percent of bettors are laying the points with the Saints, but they’ve accounted for a smaller percentage of actual money (40%). With bigger bettors on the Steelers, this line had dropped from -6 to -5.5, but is back up to -6 as of writing (see live odds here).

At 53, this is the second-highest total on Sunday’s slate. Bets are split 50/50, but the majority of money (67%) is on the under.Danny Donahue

Trends to know: Drew Brees is one of the most profitable quarterbacks in our Bet Labs database with a 141-111-6 (56%) record against the spread since 2003 (including playoffs). But he’s struggled as a big favorite.

In games that Brees is favored by six or more points, he’s gone 41-44 ATS, which means he’s 100-67-6 (60%) ATS in all other games. John Ewing

The Saints’ 12-9 victory over the Panthers on Monday Night Football was the first time Brees had won a game scoring fewer than 14 points.

Since 2003, teams that won their previous game when scoring fewer than 14 points went 87-70-6 (55%) ATS. Ewing

Playoff picture: After the Ravens won on Saturday night, the Steelers need a victory at New Orleans to keep from falling out of the playoff picture entirely.

If Pittsburgh loses, Baltimore would take control of the AFC North with one game to play.

The Saints are all-but certain to have the No. 1 seed (95.3% chance, according to our simulations). New Orleans would have to lose out for a non-No.-1-seed scenario to come into play. Scott T. Miller

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