The 3 Best Redskins vs. Vikings Prop Bets & Picks for Thursday Night Football

The 3 Best Redskins vs. Vikings Prop Bets & Picks for Thursday Night Football article feature image

Brace Hemmelgarn-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Dalvin Cook

  • What are the best prop bets for Thursday Night Football featuring the Washington Redskins at Minnesota Vikings?
  • We make picks for Dalvin Cook's receiving yards, Stefon Diggs' receiving yards and Jeremy Sprinkle's receptions.

NFL player prop bets can offer some of the best betting value on the board in any given week. They typically feature smaller limits and take less action than traditional game bets, so the market can often be less efficient than NFL sides and totals.

This is where the FantasyLabs Player Props tool comes in handy.

We leverage prop bets against our player projections from Sean Koerner, the No. 1 in-season fantasy football ranker in three of the past four seasons.

Each prop bet then receives a Bet Quality grade between 1 and 10, with 10 being the biggest edge.

Note that unders have typically done the best in our tool. Last season unders were profitable even with grades below 10, with all hitting at a 59.0% rate. Don’t take our word for it, though: Our tool keeps track of its record at all times, so you can query performance of any time frame.

Redskins vs. Vikings Prop Bets

Let’s take a look at three props worth considering for the Thursday Night Football contest between the Washington Redskins and Minnesota Vikings.

Redskins TE Jeremy Sprinkle

THE PICK: Under 2.5 Receptions (-124)

The Redskins have dealt with a bunch of injuries at tight end, which has forced Sprinkle into a starting role. That said, he hasn’t exactly taken advantage. He’s seen three or fewer targets in six of his first seven games, and he’s yet to record more than two catches in a game.

Things don’t figure to get any easier against the Vikings. Sprinkle is expected to see a bunch of Harrison Smith, who has the fifth-highest coverage grade at the safety position on Pro Football Focus.

I’m not sure why Sprinkle’s reception prop is so high, but I’m not complaining. I’d play the under up to -165.

Vikings WR Stefon Diggs

THE PICK: Under 89.5 Receiving Yards (-143) [In New Jersey? Bet now at PointsBet]

The Vikings’ pass attack has come alive recently, and Diggs has been the biggest beneficiary. He’s recorded at least seven catches and 108 receiving yards in three of his past four games.

That said, those results have been based more on efficiency than volume. The Vikings remain one of the most run-heavy teams in the league, passing at the seventh-lowest frequency in one score games. They get even more conservative when they get a lead, which is particularly concerning in this contest. They’ve run the ball on a ridiculous 74% of snaps when leading by more than one score, and they’re currently 17-point favorites in this matchup. It’s very reasonable to expect a run-heavy game plan from them tonight.

I think this is a nice opportunity to sell high on Diggs and the Vikings’ passing attack. I like the under up to -160.

Vikings RB Dalvin Cook

THE PICK: Under 33.5 receiving yards (-137)

Cook is one of the best RBs in the league, and he’s putting together a special season. He leads the league in rushing yards, rushing touchdowns and yards from scrimmage, and he owns the third-highest PFF grade at the position.

If he does have a weakness, it’s his ability to contribute in the passing game. It’s not his fault — he’s actually been very effective when targeted this season — but the coaching staff hasn’t felt the need to get him a bunch of targets on a weekly basis. He’s received three or fewer targets in four of his first seven games this season, and he’s hit the under on his current receiving prop in five of seven games.

More importantly, he’s been used more sparingly as a receiver in games that the Vikings have dominated. He’s recorded 33 or fewer receiving yards in four of their five wins this season, with the lone exception being an unusually pass-heavy game script vs. the Giants. If you think the Vikings are going to dominate this game — and the spread suggests they’re going to — there’s very little reason to expect Cook to produce in the passing game.

Cook should do plenty of damage tonight, but I expect that to come via the ground game. I would play the under on his receiving prop up to -150.

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